Big XII standings, Round 19

Amazingly, Kansas blew the western state swing for the second year in a row, yet somehow
managed to earn the 3 seed in the conference tournament.  Bleacher Report is predicting
an Arizona versus Kansas final, but with the Wildcats winning.  Getting that far just
might earn Kansas a 3 seed in the Big Dance.

                      Init                  
                      Proj   Conf.          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Recrd   Diff   Next Game
----  -------------- ------  -----  ------  -----------------
#  3  Arizona        14.903  16  2  +1.097  Thu  UCF/UC /UU
#  6  Houston        12.402  14  4  +1.598  Thu  WVU/BYU/KSU
# 19  Kansas         11.159  12  6  +0.841  Thu  TCU/CU /OSU
# 15  Texas Tech     10.530  12  6  +1.470  Thu  ISU/ASU/BU
#  7  Iowa State     14.726  12  6  -2.726  Wed  ASU/BU
# 44  TCU             7.460  11  7  +3.540  Wed  CU /OSU
# 58  West Virginia   6.956   9  9  +2.044  Wed  BYU/KSU
# 52  UCF             8.560   9  9  +0.440  Wed  UC /UU
# 42  Cincinnati      6.568   9  9  +2.432  Tue  UU  77 68
# 25  BYU            12.702   9  9  -3.702  Tue  KSU 94 82
# 64  Colorado        6.138   7 11  +0.862  Tue  OSU 88 87
# 63  Arizona State   6.341   7 11  +0.659  Tue  BU  81 83
# 48  Baylor          9.398   6 12  -3.398  Tue  ASU 83 81
# 69  Oklahoma State  6.461   6 12  -0.461  Tue  CU  87 88
#101  Kansas State    6.219   3 15  -3.219  Tue  BYU 82 94
#127  Utah            3.479   2 16  -1.479  Tue  UC  68 77

The biggest surprise this season is TCU, who finished 3.5 wins ahead of the preseason
projection.  The biggest disappointment is BYU, who finished 3.7 wins behind their
preseason projection.  Errors of 3 projected wins are not unusual historically.

                      Init                  
                      Proj   Conf.          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Recrd   Diff   Next Game
----  -------------- ------  -----  ------  -----------------
# 44  TCU             7.460  11  7  +3.540  Wed  CU /OSU
# 42  Cincinnati      6.568   9  9  +2.432  Tue  UU  77 68
# 58  West Virginia   6.956   9  9  +2.044  Wed  BYU/KSU
#  6  Houston        12.402  14  4  +1.598  Thu  WVU/BYU/KSU
# 15  Texas Tech     10.530  12  6  +1.470  Thu  ISU/ASU/BU
#  3  Arizona        14.903  16  2  +1.097  Thu  UCF/UC /UU
# 64  Colorado        6.138   7 11  +0.862  Tue  OSU 88 87
# 19  Kansas         11.159  12  6  +0.841  Thu  TCU/CU /OSU
# 63  Arizona State   6.341   7 11  +0.659  Tue  BU  81 83
# 52  UCF             8.560   9  9  +0.440  Wed  UC /UU
# 69  Oklahoma State  6.461   6 12  -0.461  Tue  CU  87 88
#127  Utah            3.479   2 16  -1.479  Tue  UC  68 77
#  7  Iowa State     14.726  12  6  -2.726  Wed  ASU/BU
#101  Kansas State    6.219   3 15  -3.219  Tue  BYU 82 94
# 48  Baylor          9.398   6 12  -3.398  Tue  ASU 83 81
# 25  BYU            12.702   9  9  -3.702  Tue  KSU 94 82

No surprise, but both Alabama and Auburn moved ahead of Kansas is the strength of
schedule rankings.  A deep run in the Big XII tournament could help Kansas retake
a higher spot, given the strength of the top of the conference.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Kansas         +16.71
#  7  Texas Tech     +15.41
# 12  BYU            +14.42
# 13  Baylor         +14.31
# 15  Arizona        +14.16
# 16  Arizona State  +14.15
# 24  Kansas State   +13.15
# 31  Houston        +12.36
# 32  Utah           +12.24
# 33  Oklahoma State +12.20
# 41  Cincinnati     +11.61
# 43  Iowa State     +11.56
# 47  Colorado       +11.29
# 49  UCF            +11.24
# 63  TCU            +10.78
# 73  West Virginia   +9.10

So the conference season ended with 50 road wins, two ahead of the long-term one-in-three
average, but that is within the historical range of departures from one-in-three.

Road wins (50 out of 144)                     Home losses                                    RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------- -------
8 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF BYU ASU UH  BU  CU 1 Arizona      TTU                            +7 UA 
6 Houston      UC  BU  TCU BYU UU  OSU        1 Houston      UA                             +5 UH 
5 Texas Tech   CU  BU  WVU UA  ISU            1 Iowa St.     TTU                            +4 TTU
4 UCF          KSU CU   UU BYU                1 Kansas       UC                             +3 ISU
4 Iowa St.     BU  OSU KSU UU                 1 Texas Tech   KU                             +3 KU
4 Kansas       CU  KSU TTU OSU                2 Cincinnati   UH  WVU                        +1 TCU
3 Baylor       OSU WVU UCF                    2 TCU          UA  UH                          0 UCF
3 TCU          BU  OSU KSU                    3 Arizona St.  CU  WVU UA                      0 UC 
3 W. Virginia  ASU UC  UCF                    3 BYU          UA  UH  UCF                     0 WVU
2 BYU          KSU UU                         3 W. Virginia  BU  TTU UU                     -1 BYU
2 Cincinnati   KSU KU                         4 UCF          UA  WVU BU  OSU                -2 ASU
2 Colorado     ASU UU                         4 Colorado     TTU KU  UCF UA                 -2 BU
2 Oklahoma St. UU  UCF                        5 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU TCU UA             -2 CU
1 Arizona St.  UU                             5 Oklahoma St. BU  ISU TCU KU  UH             -3 OSU
1 Utah         WVU                            6 Kansas St.   BYU UCF KU  ISU UC  TCU        -6 KSU
0 Kansas St.                                  8 Utah         UA  BYU OSU ASU UH  UCF ISU CU -7 UU