Big XII projection, Round 15

Iowa State losing puts us into a three-way tie for the double-bye.  We have the tie-breaker over
Texas Tech, while Tech has yet to play Iowa State, meaning one of them will pick up a fifth loss.

Round 16 features one game on Big Monday, six games on Super Tuesday, and one game on Wednesday.

                      Init   Rd 8   Rd 9   Rd A   Rd B   Rd C   Rd D   Rd E   Rd F   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  -----------------
#  3  Arizona        14.903 16.095 16.048 16.015 16.171 15.530 14.554 14.656 15.361  12  2  Sat @BU  87 76 rw
#  6  Houston        12.402 14.100 14.168 14.404 14.978 15.168 15.178 14.796 14.239  11  3  Mon @KU  70 69 rw
#  8  Iowa State     14.726 13.345 13.762 13.755 13.688 12.672 13.087 13.486 12.810  10  4  Tue @UU  82 69 rw
# 16  Texas Tech     10.530 12.814 12.153 11.526 11.937 12.149 13.100 12.288 12.365  10  4  Tue  UC  78 67
# 18  Kansas         11.159 11.650 12.095 12.721 12.640 13.332 12.996 13.264 12.262  10  4  Mon  UH  69 70 hl
# 21  BYU            12.702 11.789 11.215 10.338  9.714 10.189 10.206 10.122 10.707   8  6  Tue  UCF 92 81
# 49  UCF             8.560  9.998 10.893 10.597  9.893  9.892  9.066  9.539  9.931   8  6  Tue @BYU 81 92
# 50  TCU             7.460  8.187  7.299  7.322  7.547  8.518  9.135  8.694  8.984   7  7  Tue  ASU 79 74
# 59  West Virginia   6.956  9.438  8.654  9.508  9.217  9.253 10.074  9.109  8.802   7  7  Tue @OSU 72 74
# 46  Cincinnati      6.568  7.069  6.947  6.227  6.945  7.605  7.696  7.733  8.718   7  7  Tue @TTU 67 78
# 63  Arizona State   6.341  5.356  5.297  5.845  5.468  5.892  5.886  6.700  6.459   5  9  Tue @TCU 74 79
# 69  Colorado        6.138  5.308  6.133  5.767  6.189  6.056  6.030  5.989  6.423   5  9  Wed  KSU 89 82
# 48  Baylor          9.398  5.146  5.865  6.289  6.384  5.958  5.934  5.154  5.423   4 10  Tue  UA  76 87 hl
# 73  Oklahoma State  6.461  5.891  6.550  7.383  7.226  6.620  6.024  5.762  5.294   4 10  Tue  WVU 74 72
# 97  Kansas State    6.219  3.885  3.659  3.649  3.354  2.632  2.609  3.365  3.250   2 12  Wed @CU  82 89
#110  Utah            3.479  3.926  3.263  2.654  2.648  2.534  2.427  3.345  2.971   2 12  Tue  ISU 69 82 hl

Oklahoma State and Utah have now joined the double-digit club in strength of schedule.  Five more are poised
to do so.  Doubtful that West Virginia will make it into that club.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Kansas         +15.64
#  6  Texas Tech     +14.12
# 12  BYU            +13.10
# 14  Arizona State  +12.99
# 17  Baylor         +12.83
# 18  Arizona        +12.50
# 22  Kansas State   +11.99
# 30  Houston        +11.28
# 35  Utah           +10.85
# 46  Oklahoma State +10.03
# 48  Iowa State      +9.96
# 53  UCF             +9.75
# 54  Cincinnati      +9.69
# 59  Colorado        +9.43
# 62  TCU             +9.31
# 74  West Virginia   +7.15

Three road wins in Round 15, one more than expected, leaving us three road wins ahead of the
long-term one-in-three average.  Three more are projected for Round 16, though Houston at Kansas
is effectively a toss-up.

Road wins (40 out of 112)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
6 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF BYU ASU UH         0 Iowa St.                                     +5 UA 
5 Houston      UC  BU  TCU BYU UU             1 Arizona      TTU                             +4 UH 
4 Kansas       CU  KSU TTU OSU                1 Houston      UA                              +3 ISU
4 Texas Tech   CU  BU  WVU UA                 1 Kansas       UC                              +3 KU
3 UCF          KSU CU   UU                    1 Texas Tech   KU                              +3 TTU
3 Iowa St.     BU  OSU KSU                    2 BYU          UA  UH                          +1 UCF
3 W. Virginia  ASU UC  UCF                    2 UCF          UA  WVU                          0 BYU
2 Baylor       OSU WVU                        2 Cincinnati   UH  WVU                          0 UC 
2 BYU          KSU UU                         2 TCU          UA  UH                           0 TCU
2 Cincinnati   KSU KU                         3 Arizona St.  CU  WVU UA                       0 WVU
2 TCU          BU  OSU                        3 Colorado     TTU KU  UCF                     -2 ASU
1 Arizona St.  UU                             3 W. Virginia  BU  TTU UU                      -2 BU
1 Colorado     ASU                            4 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU TCU                 -2 CU
1 Oklahoma St. UU                             4 Oklahoma St. BU  ISU TCU  KU                 -3 OSU
1 Utah         WVU                            5 Kansas St.   BYU UCF KU  ISU UC              -5 KSU
0 Kansas St.                                  6 Utah         UA  BYU OSU ASU UH  UCF         -5 UU