Big XII projection, Round 9

We're now halfway through the conference season, sort of.  Each team plays 18 conference games, and
we've now had 9 rounds of play, which would make it halfway if everybody played in every round, but
there have been a few byes.  So we're a little under halfway, but will be a little over halfway by
the end of Round 9.  Kansas started in fifth place and is still in fifth place.  A win by the Jayhawks
on Big Monday would allow the Jayhawks to take over fourth place.  It's a bit of deja vu, as Kansas
just came off a game against the team just ahead of them in the projected standings with the prospect
of leapfrogging that opponent if they could pull out a win.  Ditto for today's game.

Round 10 features one game on Big Monday, four games on Wednesday, one game on Thursday, and four teams
with byes.  To avoid line wrap, given that I've now maxed out the line width, I've removed the Round 1
projected wins.

                      Init   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   Rd 8   Rd 9   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  -----------------
#  2  Arizona        14.903 15.043 15.379 15.094 15.268 15.454 15.667 16.095 16.048   9  0  bye
#  6  Houston        12.402 12.888 13.804 14.226 14.471 14.429 13.785 14.100 14.168   7  1  Wed  UCF 82 69
#  4  Iowa State     14.726 15.318 15.265 13.922 12.768 13.075 13.249 13.345 13.762   7  2  bye
# 20  Texas Tech     10.530 10.532 10.768 10.713 11.503 12.348 12.842 12.814 12.153   6  2  Mon  KU  78 77
# 14  Kansas         11.159 10.281  9.190 10.617 10.996 11.238 11.718 11.650 12.095   6  2  Mon @TTU 77 78
# 15  BYU            12.702 13.152 13.115 13.132 12.260 12.175 12.130 11.789 11.215   5  3  Wed @OSU 91 85 rw
# 45  UCF             8.560  8.905  8.951  9.738  9.595  9.143  9.850  9.998 10.893   6  3  Wed @UH  69 82
# 69  West Virginia   6.956  7.081  8.359  7.940  8.476  9.428  9.198  9.438  8.654   5  4  Thu @UC  60 64
# 53  TCU             7.460  8.325  7.954  8.216  7.395  7.596  8.512  8.187  7.299   3  6  bye
# 62  Cincinnati      6.568  5.913  5.790  6.218  7.570  7.409  6.637  7.069  6.947   3  6  Thu  WVU 64 60
# 58  Oklahoma State  6.461  6.943  7.222  6.069  6.278  6.086  5.874  5.891  6.550   3  5  Wed  BYU 85 91 hl
# 73  Colorado        6.138  7.322  7.089  6.622  6.258  6.092  5.470  5.308  6.133   3  6  Wed @BU  81 87
# 51  Baylor          9.398  8.120  6.872  7.831  7.325  6.468  5.678  5.146  5.865   2  7  Wed  CU  87 81
# 77  Arizona State   6.341  5.147  5.616  5.876  5.549  4.722  5.442  5.356  5.297   2  7  Wed @UU  84 84 rw
# 91  Kansas State    6.219  5.942  5.413  4.660  4.318  4.465  4.082  3.885  3.659   1  8  bye
#116  Utah            3.479  3.086  3.213  3.127  3.972  3.872  3.863  3.926  3.263   1  7  Wed  ASU 84 84 hl

The latest strength of schedule rankings and ratings:

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Kansas         +14.01
#  5  Texas Tech     +12.78
#  9  Arizona State  +11.97
# 18  Baylor         +10.60
# 22  Kansas State    +9.76
# 32  BYU             +8.92
# 34  Arizona         +8.72
# 36  Cincinnati      +8.68
# 43  Utah            +8.09
# 44  UCF             +8.06
# 52  Houston         +7.50
# 56  TCU             +7.01
# 60  Iowa State      +6.79
# 64  Colorado        +6.28
# 66  Oklahoma State  +6.23
# 91  West Virginia   +3.45

Just two projected road wins in Round 9, one of which is effectively a toss-up

Road wins (25 out of  69)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
5 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF BYU ASU            0 Arizona                                      +5 UA 
3 Houston      UC  BU  TCU                    0 Houston                                      +3 UH 
3 Iowa St.     BU  OSU KSU                    0 Iowa St.                                     +3 ISU
2 Baylor       OSU WVU                        0 Kansas                                       +2 KU
2 BYU          KSU UU                         0 Texas Tech                                   +2 TTU
2 UCF          KSU CU                         1 BYU          UA                              +1 BYU
2 Kansas       CU  KSU                        1 UCF          UA                              +1 UCF
2 Texas Tech   CU  BU                         1 Cincinnati   UH                               0 WVU
1 Colorado     ASU                            1 W. Virginia  BU                              -1 UC 
1 Oklahoma St. UU                             2 Oklahoma St. BU  ISU                         -1 OSU
1 TCU          BU                             2 TCU          UA  UH                          -1 TCU
1 W. Virginia  ASU                            3 Arizona St.  CU  WVU UA                      -2 BU
0 Arizona St.                                 3 Colorado     TTU KU  UCF                     -2 CU
0 Cincinnati                                  3 Utah         UA  BYU OSU                     -3 ASU
0 Kansas St.                                  4 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU TCU                 -3 UU
0 Utah                                        4 Kansas St.   BYU UCF KU  ISU                 -4 KSU