Big XII projection, Round 8

The Big XII has a new bottom feeder:  Kansas State.

If Kansas beats BYU in Round 9, fifth place will belong to the Jayhawks, as they will pick up
0.37 of a projected win, while BYU will lose 0.37 of a projected win, the combination of which
is way more than the current difference between them.  Of course, if Kansas loses, the Jayhawks
will lose 0.63 of a projected win, while BYU will gain 0.63 of a projected win, and Kansas will
be solidly in sixth place for a while.

Six games on Saturday and two on Sunday in Round 9.


                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   Rd 8   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  -----------------
#  1  Arizona        14.903 14.987 15.043 15.379 15.094 15.268 15.454 15.667 16.095   8  0  Sat @ASU 92 77 rw
#  6  Houston        12.402 12.680 12.888 13.804 14.226 14.471 14.429 13.785 14.100   6  1  Sat  UC  74 59
#  4  Iowa State     14.726 14.953 15.318 15.265 13.922 12.768 13.075 13.249 13.345   6  2  Sun @KSU 87 75 rw
# 18  Texas Tech     10.530 10.715 10.532 10.768 10.713 11.503 12.348 12.842 12.814   6  1  Sat @UCF 83 81 rw
# 15  BYU            12.702 12.945 13.152 13.115 13.132 12.260 12.175 12.130 11.789   5  2  Sat @KU  77 81
# 14  Kansas         11.159 10.213 10.281  9.190 10.617 10.996 11.238 11.718 11.650   5  2  Sat  BYU 81 77
# 45  UCF             8.560  9.660  8.905  8.951  9.738  9.595  9.143  9.850  9.998   5  3  Sat  TTU 81 83 hl
# 59  West Virginia   6.956  6.788  7.081  8.359  7.940  8.476  9.428  9.198  9.438   5  3  Sat  BU  74 71
# 50  TCU             7.460  8.339  8.325  7.954  8.216  7.395  7.596  8.512  8.187   3  5  Sun @CU  79 78 rw
# 58  Cincinnati      6.568  6.262  5.913  5.790  6.218  7.570  7.409  6.637  7.069   3  5  Sat @UH  59 74
# 71  Oklahoma State  6.461  6.036  6.943  7.222  6.069  6.278  6.086  5.874  5.891   2  5  Sat @UU  88 87 rw
# 78  Arizona State   6.341  5.513  5.147  5.616  5.876  5.549  4.722  5.442  5.356   2  6  Sat  UA  77 92 hl
# 84  Colorado        6.138  7.055  7.322  7.089  6.622  6.258  6.092  5.470  5.308   2  6  Sun  TCU 78 79 hl
# 52  Baylor          9.398  8.483  8.120  6.872  7.831  7.325  6.468  5.678  5.146   1  7  Sat @WVU 71 74
#113  Utah            3.479  3.358  3.086  3.213  3.127  3.972  3.872  3.863  3.926   1  6  Sat  OSU 87 88 hl
# 88  Kansas State    6.219  6.013  5.942  5.413  4.660  4.318  4.465  4.082  3.885   1  7  Sun  ISU 75 87 hl

Now four Big XII teams above +10 in strength of schedule.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Kansas         +13.10
#  7  Texas Tech     +11.84
# 13  Arizona State  +10.69
# 15  Baylor         +10.36
# 28  Kansas State    +8.68
# 32  Arizona         +8.45
# 38  BYU             +7.98
# 43  Utah            +7.79
# 45  Houston         +7.55
# 49  Cincinnati      +7.17
# 50  UCF             +7.01
# 62  TCU             +6.09
# 63  Colorado        +5.99
# 64  Oklahoma State  +5.92
# 66  Iowa State      +5.91
# 96  West Virginia   +2.95

Five road wins projected for Round 9.

Road wins (21 out of  61)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
4 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF BYU                0 Arizona                                      +4 UA 
3 Houston      UC  BU  TCU                    0 Houston                                      +3 UH 
2 BYU          KSU UU                         0 Iowa St.                                     +2 ISU
2 UCF          KSU CU                         0 Kansas                                       +2 KU
2 Iowa St.     BU  OSU                        0 Texas Tech                                   +2 TTU
2 Kansas       CU  KSU                        0 W. Virginia                                  +1 BYU
2 Texas Tech   CU  BU                         1 BYU          UA                              +1 UCF
1 Baylor       OSU                            1 UCF          UA                              +1 WVU
1 Colorado     ASU                            1 Cincinnati   UH                              -1 UC 
1 TCU          BU                             2 Arizona St.  CU  WVU                         -1 TCU
1 W. Virginia  ASU                            2 Oklahoma St. BU  ISU                         -2 ASU
0 Arizona St.                                 2 TCU          UA  UH                          -2 CU
0 Cincinnati                                  2 Utah         UA  BYU                         -2 OSU
0 Kansas St.                                  3 Colorado     TTU KU  UCF                     -2 UU
0 Oklahoma St.                                3 Kansas St.   BYU UCF KU                      -3 BU
0 Utah                                        4 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU TCU                 -3 KSU