Big XII projection, Round 7

And then there was one.  Houston fell from the ranks of the unbeatens in conference play, falling
on the road in Lubbock to the Red Raiders, but holding onto second place, leaving Arizona alone
at the top of the newspaper standings.

One game on Monday, two games on Tuesday, two games on Wednesday, one game on Thursday, and four
teams with mid-week byes in Round 8.

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  1  Arizona        14.903 14.987 15.043 15.379 15.094 15.268 15.454 15.667   7  0  Mon @BYU  86  83  road win
#  7  Houston        12.402 12.680 12.888 13.804 14.226 14.471 14.429 13.785   5  1  Wed @TCU  73  67  road win
#  5  Iowa State     14.726 14.953 15.318 15.265 13.922 12.768 13.075 13.249   5  2  Thu  CU   89  71
# 18  Texas Tech     10.530 10.715 10.532 10.768 10.713 11.503 12.348 12.842   6  1  bye
# 15  BYU            12.702 12.945 13.152 13.115 13.132 12.260 12.175 12.130   5  1  Mon  UA   83  86  home loss
# 14  Kansas         11.159 10.213 10.281  9.190 10.617 10.996 11.238 11.718   5  2  bye
# 44  UCF             8.560  9.660  8.905  8.951  9.738  9.595  9.143  9.850   4  3  Tue  ASU  89  81
# 58  West Virginia   6.956  6.788  7.081  8.359  7.940  8.476  9.428  9.198   4  3  Tue  KSU  79  73
# 48  TCU             7.460  8.339  8.325  7.954  8.216  7.395  7.596  8.512   3  4  Wed  UH   67  73  home loss
# 59  Cincinnati      6.568  6.262  5.913  5.790  6.218  7.570  7.409  6.637   2  5  Wed  BU   78  76
# 68  Oklahoma State  6.461  6.036  6.943  7.222  6.069  6.278  6.086  5.874   2  5  bye
# 52  Baylor          9.398  8.483  8.120  6.872  7.831  7.325  6.468  5.678   1  6  Wed @UC   76  78
# 81  Colorado        6.138  7.055  7.322  7.089  6.622  6.258  6.092  5.470   2  5  Thu @ISU  71  89
# 83  Arizona State   6.341  5.513  5.147  5.616  5.876  5.549  4.722  5.442   2  5  Tue @UCF  81  89
# 89  Kansas State    6.219  6.013  5.942  5.413  4.660  4.318  4.465  4.082   1  6  Tue @WVU  73  79
#112  Utah            3.479  3.358  3.086  3.213  3.127  3.972  3.872  3.863   1  6  bye 

The strength of schedule rating for Kansas went up, but its ranking went down, as Auburn moved
ahead of Kansas after their road game with Florida.  West Virginia finally made it into the Top 100.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Kansas         +13.27
#  5  Texas Tech     +11.95
# 15  Arizona State   +9.80
# 16  Baylor          +9.66
# 32  Kansas State    +8.01
# 36  Utah            +7.61
# 38  Cincinnati      +7.50
# 42  UCF             +7.27
# 44  Arizona         +6.98
# 50  Houston         +6.66
# 51  BYU             +6.60
# 58  Iowa State      +6.19
# 61  Oklahoma State  +5.93
# 69  Colorado        +4.92
# 72  TCU             +4.65
# 94  West Virginia   +3.08

Now we're one road win ahead of the long-term one-in-three average.  Just two projected road wins
in Round 8.

Road wins (19 out of  55)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
3 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF                    0 Arizona                                      +3 UA 
2 BYU          KSU UU                         0 BYU                                          +2 BYU
2 UCF          KSU CU                         0 Houston                                      +2 UH 
2 Houston      UC  BU                         0 Iowa St.                                     +2 ISU
2 Iowa St.     BU  OSU                        0 Kansas                                       +2 KU
2 Kansas       CU  KSU                        0 Texas Tech                                   +2 TTU
2 Texas Tech   CU  BU                         0 W. Virginia                                  +1 UCF
1 Baylor       OSU                            1 UCF          UA                              +1 WVU
1 Colorado     ASU                            1 Cincinnati   UH                               0 TCU
1 TCU          BU                             1 TCU          UA                              -1 UC 
1 W. Virginia  ASU                            2 Arizona St.  CU  WVU                         -2 ASU
0 Arizona St.                                 2 Oklahoma St. BU  ISU                         -2 CU
0 Cincinnati                                  2 Utah         UA  BYU                         -2 OSU
0 Kansas St.                                  3 Colorado     TTU KU  UCF                     -2 UU
0 Oklahoma St.                                3 Kansas St.   BYU UCF KU                      -3 BU
0 Utah                                        4 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU TCU                 -3 KSU