Big XII projection, Round 6

Texas Tech followed their home win over BYU with a huge road win over Baylor while BYU was idle,
which enabled the Red Raiders to leapfrog the Cougars into fourth place.  Kansas remains stuck in
sixth place.  The road win over Colorado was so close to expectation that the Jayhawks didn't gain
much beyond the fractional win.  But a home game against BYU will soon provide an opportunity to
take over fifth place with a win.

All eight games in Round 7 are on Saturday.

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  2  Arizona        14.903 14.987 15.043 15.379 15.094 15.268 15.454   6  0  Sat  WVU  83  66
#  4  Houston        12.402 12.680 12.888 13.804 14.226 14.471 14.429   5  0  Sat @TTU  73  73  road win
#  5  Iowa State     14.726 14.953 15.318 15.265 13.922 12.768 13.075   4  2  Sat @OSU  90  80  road win
# 19  Texas Tech     10.530 10.715 10.532 10.768 10.713 11.503 12.348   5  1  Sat  UH   73  73  home loss
# 14  BYU            12.702 12.945 13.152 13.115 13.132 12.260 12.175   4  1  Sat  UU   95  77
# 17  Kansas         11.159 10.213 10.281  9.190 10.617 10.996 11.238   4  2  Sat @KSU  87  79  road win
# 57  West Virginia   6.956  6.788  7.081  8.359  7.940  8.476  9.428   4  2  Sat @UA   66  83
# 46  UCF             8.560  9.660  8.905  8.951  9.738  9.595  9.143   3  3  Sat @CU   85  84  road win
# 52  TCU             7.460  8.339  8.325  7.954  8.216  7.395  7.596   2  4  Sat @BU   76  80
# 54  Cincinnati      6.568  6.262  5.913  5.790  6.218  7.570  7.409   2  4  Sat @ASU  78  78  road win
# 48  Baylor          9.398  8.483  8.120  6.872  7.831  7.325  6.468   1  5  Sat  TCU  80  76
# 78  Colorado        6.138  7.055  7.322  7.089  6.622  6.258  6.092   2  4  Sat  UCF  84  85  home loss
# 67  Oklahoma State  6.461  6.036  6.943  7.222  6.069  6.278  6.086   2  4  Sat  ISU  80  90  home loss
# 92  Arizona State   6.341  5.513  5.147  5.616  5.876  5.549  4.722   1  5  Sat  UC   78  78  home loss
# 84  Kansas State    6.219  6.013  5.942  5.413  4.660  4.318  4.465   1  5  Sat  KU   79  87  home loss
#114  Utah            3.479  3.358  3.086  3.213  3.127  3.972  3.872   1  5  Sat @BYU  77  95

The latest strength of schedule rankings and ratings:

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  2  Kansas         +13.12
#  6  Texas Tech     +11.19
# 12  Arizona State   +9.86
# 16  Baylor          +9.44
# 39  Cincinnati      +6.99
# 41  Kansas State    +6.91
# 42  BYU             +6.91
# 44  UCF             +6.80
# 45  Arizona         +6.73
# 48  Utah            +6.30
# 57  Iowa State      +5.57
# 61  Houston         +5.36
# 71  Oklahoma State  +4.39
# 72  Colorado        +4.38
# 84  TCU             +3.63
#126  West Virginia   +1.43

We're one road win shy of the long-term one-in-three average.  Although the standings above show
five projected road wins in Round 7, two of them are effectively toss-ups with one predicted to be a
one-point affair.

Road wins (15 out of  47)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
3 Arizona      UU  TCU UCF                    0 Arizona                                      +3 UA 
2 BYU          KSU UU                         0 BYU                                          +2 BYU
2 Houston      UC  BU                         0 Houston                                      +2 UH 
2 Texas Tech   CU  BU                         0 Iowa St.                                     +2 TTU
1 Baylor       OSU                            0 Kansas                                       +1 ISU
1 UCF          KSU                            0 Texas Tech                                   +1 KU
1 Colorado     ASU                            0 W. Virginia                                  +1 WVU
1 Iowa St.     BU                             1 UCF          UA                               0 UCF
1 Kansas       CU                             1 Cincinnati   UH                              -1 UC 
1 W. Virginia  ASU                            1 Oklahoma St. BU                              -1 CU
0 Arizona St.                                 1 TCU          UA                              -1 OSU
0 Cincinnati                                  2 Arizona St.  CU  WVU                         -1 TCU
0 Kansas St.                                  2 Colorado     TTU KU                          -2 ASU
0 Oklahoma St.                                2 Kansas St.   BYU UCF                         -2 BU
0 TCU                                         2 Utah         UA  BYU                         -2 KSU
0 Utah                                        3 Baylor       ISU UH  TTU                     -2 UU