Big XII projection, Round 2

Iowa State got a road win, playing 2.5 points above expectation, while
Arizona won at home, playing 3.4 points above expectation.  That was
enough to propel the Cyclones into first place.  Interestingly, Pomeroy's
ratings also flipped them.  Kansas remained in sixth place by virtue of
playing 5.1 points below expectation, despite winning in stunning fashion.
So the Jayhawks picked up about 0.2 of a projected win by winning the game,
but then lost about 0.1 of a projected win over the remainder of its
schedule by playing below expectation, thus minimal change in the number
of projected wins.

Baylor is the best winless team, and life doesn't get any easier with
Houston next on its schedule, while Colorado is the worst undefeated
team, having benefited by starting with Arizona State and Utah, the two
cellar dwellars; we'll see how they fare against Texas Tech.

Seven games on Saturday and one on Sunday in Round 3.

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  2  Iowa State     14.726 14.953 15.318   2  0  Sat  OSU  95  75
#  3  Arizona        14.903 14.987 15.043   2  0  Sat @TCU  83  73  road win
# 10  BYU            12.702 12.945 13.152   2  0  Sat @UU   92  77  road win
# 11  Houston        12.402 12.680 12.888   2  0  Sat @BU   76  74  road win
# 20  Texas Tech     10.530 10.715 10.532   1  1  Sat @CU   86  81  road win
# 18  Kansas         11.159 10.213 10.281   1  1  Sat @WVU  71  66  road win
# 44  UCF             8.560  9.660  8.905   1  1  Sun  UC   80  73
# 49  TCU             7.460  8.339  8.325   1  1  Sat  UA   73  83  home loss
# 33  Baylor          9.398  8.483  8.120   0  2  Sat  UH   74  76  home loss
# 80  Colorado        6.138  7.055  7.322   2  0  Sat  TTU  81  86  home loss
# 74  West Virginia   6.956  6.788  7.081   1  1  Sat  KU   66  71  home loss
# 58  Oklahoma State  6.461  6.036  6.943   1  1  Sat @ISU  75  95
# 72  Kansas State    6.219  6.013  5.942   0  2  Sat @ASU  87  89
# 66  Cincinnati      6.568  6.262  5.913   0  2  Sun @UCF  73  80
# 92  Arizona State   6.341  5.513  5.147   0  2  Sat  KSU  89  87
#131  Utah            3.479  3.358  3.086   0  2  Sat  BYU  77  92  home loss

Just 1 road win in Round 2, but 5 projected road wins in Round 3.

Road wins ( 5 out of  16)                     Home losses                                     RW-HL
--------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
1 Arizona      UU                             0 Arizona                                      +1 UA 
1 BYU          KSU                            0 BYU                                          +1 BYU
1 Colorado     ASU                            0 Colorado                                     +1 CU
1 Houston      UC                             0 Houston                                      +1 UH 
1 Iowa St.     BU                             0 Iowa St.                                     +1 ISU
0 Arizona St.                                 0 Kansas                                        0 UCF
0 Baylor                                      0 Oklahoma St.                                  0 KU
0 UCF                                         0 TCU                                           0 OSU
0 Cincinnati                                  0 Texas Tech                                    0 TCU
0 Kansas                                      0 W. Virginia                                   0 TTU
0 Kansas St.                                  0 UCF                                           0 WVU
0 Oklahoma St.                                1 Arizona St.  CU                              -1 ASU
0 TCU                                         1 Baylor       ISU                             -1 BU
0 Texas Tech                                  1 Cincinnati   UH                              -1 UC 
0 Utah                                        1 Kansas St.   BYU                             -1 KSU
0 W. Virginia                                 1 Utah         UA                              -1 UU