predictions for Duke game

I've been awake for almost 22 hours and really don't feel like writing very much,
even more so when Kansas isn't favored to win.  Besides, so much depends on whether
Peterson plays or not.

Rock Chalk!

Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats     Duke     KU      Defensive Stats     Duke     KU
Points/Game         96.0    80.3     Opp Points/Game     58.8    60.3
Avg Score Margin   +37.3   +20.0     Opp Effective FG %  38.1    42.1
Assists/Game        20.8    16.0     Off Rebounds/Gm     12.0     7.3
Total Rebounds/Gm   46.5    39.5     Def Rebounds/Gm     31.0    28.8
Effective FG %      59.3    58.7     Blocks/Game          6.0     7.0
Off Rebound %       37.8    25.9     Steals/Game          9.0     6.5
FTA/FGA            0.448   0.406     Personal Fouls/Gm   17.5    14.8
Turnover %          12.0    15.6   

My Stats Comparison        KU             Duke
===================   =============   ============
performance           +2.33          +12.21    
inconsistency         10.87            7.79    
trend                 -4.01 ± 5.23    +2.15 ± 3.99
mental toughness      -0.60 ± 0.32    -0.42 ± 0.41         
average total pts     140.50          154.75 

Common Opponents
================
None.

Players to Watch
================
most minutes       Cameron Boozer (forward)
most points        Cameron Boozer (forward)
most rebounds      Cameron Boozer (forward)
most assists       Cameron Boozer (forward)
most steals        Dame Sarr (guard)
most blocks        Cameron Boozer (forward)
most turnovers     Patrick Ngongba II (center)
most fouls         Maliq Brown (forward)

                                                           3-1            4-0 
                       Margin   Predicted   Win Prb      Kansas          Duke
Predictor              points     Score     percent   Rating   SOS   Rating   SOS 
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============   ============
Massey                  -7.00   69   76       25       # 25   # 55    #  1   # 84
Pomeroy                 -6.42   76   82       27.2     # 26   #272    #  2   #250
Greenfield             -11.00   70   81                # 21   # 21    #  1   # 22
Dunkel                  -7.00   76   83                # 33           #  1
Vegas (via Dunkel)     -10.50   70   80                                        
Dolphin Predictive      -7.31   70   77       27.4     # 13   # 16    #  2   # 10
Seven Overtimes                                        #      #       #      #   
Real Time                                              #      #       #      #   
DPPI                   -12.70   68   80.5     13.6     # 32   #168    #  1   #250 
ESPN Bet/BPI           -10.50   70   80.5              # 25   #214    #  1   #236
Whitlock                                               #      #       #      #   
Colley Matrix           -6.39                          #105   #264    # 21   #281 
Donchess                -8.80   70   79       21.3     # 20   #164    #  1   #281
Haslametrics            -8.10   71   79                # 18           #  2
INCCStats               -7.00   71   78       26.8     # 19           #  1
common opponents                                     
NCAA NET                                               #              #   
LRMC                                                   #      #       #      #   
Massey composite                                       # 25           #  1
Pomeroy offense                                        # 55           #  4
Pomeroy defense                                        # 11           #  9
Pomeroy tempo                                          #211           #162
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============   ============ 
average                 -8.56   71.0 79.6     23.6
scatter                  2.11    2.6  2.1      5.4

Here is Kansas' season, for which the projected record is currently 18-13:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
HOME   #324 Green Bay                   94  51   +27.85   +15.15
AWAY   # 23 North Carolina              74  87    -3.80    -9.20
HOME   #257 Texas A&M Corpus Chris      77  46   +24.00    +7.00
HOME   #224 Princeton                   76  57   +22.62    -3.62
NEUT   #  2 Duke                        76  82    -6.42             0.272
NEUT   # 61 Notre Dame                  77  72    +4.82             0.676
NEUT   # 48 Syracuse                    80  76    +3.50             0.630
NEUT   #  3 Houston                     69  74    -5.76             0.293
HOME   #  7 Connecticut                 78  79    -1.30             0.451
NEUT   # 33 Missouri                    82  81    +1.17             0.544
AWAY   # 22 N.C. State                  78  82    -4.01             0.352
HOME   #123 Towson                      78  62   +16.09             0.936
HOME   #119 Davidson                    85  69   +15.83             0.933
AWAY   # 76 UCF                         84  81    +3.16             0.617
HOME   # 84 TCU                         82  70   +11.49             0.861
AWAY   # 62 West Virginia               72  70    +1.27             0.548
HOME   #  8 Iowa St.                    77  78    -1.00             0.463
HOME   # 25 Baylor                      81  78    +3.43             0.627
AWAY   # 88 Colorado                    83  78    +4.91             0.679
AWAY   # 72 Kansas St.                  84  81    +2.79             0.604
HOME   # 16 BYU                         81  80    +1.33             0.550
AWAY   # 15 Texas Tech                  74  80    -5.62             0.298
HOME   #102 Utah                        87  73   +13.80             0.904
HOME   # 11 Arizona                     81  81    -0.27             0.490
AWAY   #  8 Iowa St.                    74  82    -8.00             0.225
AWAY   # 54 Oklahoma St.                83  81    +1.38             0.552
HOME   # 42 Cincinnati                  79  73    +6.39             0.727
HOME   #  3 Houston                     70  73    -2.26             0.415
AWAY   # 11 Arizona                     78  85    -7.27             0.246
AWAY   # 86 Arizona St.                 79  75    +4.78             0.674
HOME   # 72 Kansas St.                  88  78    +9.79             0.823

Here is Duke's season to date:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
NEUT   # 40 Texas                       75  60    +8.94    +6.06
HOME   #232 Western Carolina            95  54   +30.63   +10.37
AWAY   #356 Army                       114  59   +31.42   +23.58
HOME   #197 Indiana St.                100  62   +29.18    +8.82
NEUT   # 26 Kansas                      82  76    +6.42             0.728