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National Championship odds less than 0.1 percent

  • asteroid
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1 month 3 weeks ago #33654 by asteroid
Here is Kansas' season:
                                                                            CUMU.
SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.   PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----   -----
HOME   #312 Howard                      87  57   +29.05    +0.95
HOME   # 33 North Carolina              92  89    +6.11    -3.11
NEUT   #  8 Michigan St.                77  69    -2.85   +10.85
HOME   #177 Oakland                     78  57   +19.28    +1.72
HOME   #105 UNC Wilmington              84  66   +15.34    +2.66
NEUT   #  1 Duke                        75  72    -9.80   +12.80
HOME   #137 Furman                      86  51   +17.36   +17.64
AWAY   # 37 Creighton                   63  76    -0.41   -12.59
AWAY   # 15 Missouri                    67  76    -4.25    -4.75
HOME   #125 N.C. State                  75  60   +16.23    -1.23
HOME   #208 Brown                       87  53   +21.29   +12.71
HOME   # 53 West Virginia               61  62    +8.77    -9.77
AWAY   # 68 UCF                         99  48    +4.92   +46.08
HOME   # 70 Arizona St.                 74  55   +11.79    +7.21
AWAY   # 55 Cincinnati                  54  40    +2.07   +11.93
AWAY   # 10 Iowa St.                    57  74    -6.04   -10.96
HOME   # 67 Kansas St.                  84  74   +10.88    -0.88
AWAY   # 86 TCU                         74  61    +6.16    +6.84
HOME   #  3 Houston                     86  92    -3.94    -2.06
HOME   # 68 UCF                         91  87   +11.92    -7.92
AWAY   # 29 Baylor                      70  81    -2.08    -8.92
HOME   # 10 Iowa St.                    69  52    +0.96   +16.04
AWAY   # 67 Kansas St.                  73  81    +3.88   -11.88
HOME   # 81 Colorado                    71  59   +12.84    -0.84
AWAY   # 76 Utah                        67  74    +5.17   -12.17
AWAY   # 24 BYU                         57  91    -2.89   -31.11
HOME   #100 Oklahoma St.                96  64   +15.66   +16.34
AWAY   # 81 Colorado                    71  64    +5.84    +1.16
HOME   #  7 Texas Tech                  73  78    +0.36    -5.36
AWAY   #  3 Houston                     59  65   -10.94    +4.94
HOME   # 14 Arizona                     83  76    +1.82    +5.18
NEUT   # 68 UCF                         98  94    +8.42    -4.42
NEUT   # 14 Arizona                     77  88    -1.68    -9.32
NEUT   # 40 Arkansas                    74  70    +3.89             0.643   0.643
NEUT   # 11 St. John's                  69  71    -2.18             0.419   0.269
NEUT   #  7 Texas Tech                  71  74    -3.14             0.383   0.103
NEUT   #  2 Florida                     72  81    -8.99             0.198   0.020
NEUT   #  4 Auburn                      71  78    -7.92             0.227   0.005
NEUT   #  1 Duke                        66  76    -9.80             0.177   0.001

The above assumes that the higher seeded opponent advances.  Although both Duke
and Houston are 1 seeds, Duke has the higher overall seed, so the above assumes
Duke advances on the other side of the bracket.  As upsets occur, our odds could go
up.  Winning that first game would also help.  Note that we've beaten a 1 seed (Duke),
we've beaten a 2 seed (Michigan State), we've beaten a 3 seed (Iowa State), and we've
beaten a 4 seed (Arizona).

[chant] SIX MORE GAMES!!  SIX MORE GAMES!!  SIX MORE GAMES!!

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1 month 3 weeks ago #33655 by HawkErrant
Mmm...

All I will say is that it would be nice to end this season as KU started it -- beating Duke.:woohoo:

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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