Big 12 Tournament odds (4 percent for KU)

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
HOME   #311 Howard                      87  57   +29.40    +0.60
HOME   # 37 North Carolina              92  89    +7.41    -4.41
NEUT   #  8 Michigan St.                77  69    -2.45   +10.45
HOME   #179 Oakland                     78  57   +19.70    +1.30
HOME   #104 UNC Wilmington              84  66   +15.66    +2.34
NEUT   #  1 Duke                        75  72   -10.49   +13.49
HOME   #135 Furman                      86  51   +17.62   +17.38
AWAY   # 36 Creighton                   63  76    -0.10   -12.90
AWAY   # 20 Missouri                    67  76    -3.71    -5.29
HOME   #124 N.C. State                  75  60   +16.71    -1.71
HOME   #209 Brown                       87  53   +21.67   +12.33
HOME   # 51 West Virginia               61  62    +8.75    -9.75
AWAY   # 76 UCF                         99  48    +6.06   +44.94
HOME   # 70 Arizona St.                 74  55   +12.12    +6.88
AWAY   # 56 Cincinnati                  54  40    +2.42   +11.58
AWAY   # 10 Iowa St.                    57  74    -5.44   -11.56
HOME   # 66 Kansas St.                  84  74   +11.29    -1.29
AWAY   # 88 TCU                         74  61    +6.62    +6.38
HOME   #  3 Houston                     86  92    -3.51    -2.49
HOME   # 76 UCF                         91  87   +13.06    -9.06
AWAY   # 29 Baylor                      70  81    -1.28    -9.72
HOME   # 10 Iowa St.                    69  52    +1.56   +15.44
AWAY   # 66 Kansas St.                  73  81    +4.29   -12.29
HOME   # 92 Colorado                    71  59   +14.16    -2.16
AWAY   # 71 Utah                        67  74    +5.16   -12.16
AWAY   # 24 BYU                         57  91    -2.69   -31.31
HOME   # 96 Oklahoma St.                96  64   +15.69   +16.31
AWAY   # 92 Colorado                    71  64    +7.16    -0.16
HOME   #  7 Texas Tech                  73  78    +0.33    -5.33           CUMU.
AWAY   #  3 Houston                     59  65   -10.51    +4.51           PROB.
HOME   # 16 Arizona                     83  76    +2.73    +4.27           -----
NEUT   # 71 Utah                        78  69    +8.66             0.794  0.794
NEUT   # 76 UCF                         84  74    +9.56             0.817
NEUT   # 16 Arizona                     76  77    -0.77             0.471  0.374
NEUT   #  7 Texas Tech                  71  74    -3.17             0.382  0.143
NEUT   #  3 Houston                     61  68    -7.01             0.254  0.036

I've listed both possible Wednesday opponents.  Utah is rated a bit higher
than UCF and is the higher seed.  For subsequent rounds, I've chosen the
opponent based on the assumption that the higher seed on the other side
of the bracket advances.  Kansas has less than a 4 percent chance of
winning the tournament, though the odds will go up if there are some upsets
along the way that change the opponent.

In terms of strength of schedule, the regular season ended with Arizona State
and Baylor ahead of Kansas.  If Arizona State loses to Kansas State in the
first round (kittens are favored by only 1 points, 73 to 72), their season will be
over, and if Kansas can advance, then tougher opponents would await,
potentially giving the Jayhawks a chance to leapfrog Arizona State.  Baylor,
on the other hand, would be playing tougher opponents and ought to stay
ahead of Kansas in strength of schedule as long as the Bears keep winning,
so we need Baylor to lose, the earlier the better.