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Big 12 projection, round 14

  • asteroid
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2 months 3 weeks ago #32303 by asteroid
An abbreviated edition due to lack of time:

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   Rd 8   Rd 9 
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj 
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins 
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
#  1  Houston        14.753 14.923 13.906 13.102 13.291 13.395 13.891 14.032 14.157 13.223
#  9  Iowa State     10.283  9.500 10.640 11.064 10.363 11.068 11.222 11.568 11.539 11.155
# 25  Texas Tech      8.828 10.113 10.523 10.532 10.116 10.926 10.955 11.724 11.279 10.376
# 14  Baylor         10.930 11.363 11.925 11.971 11.226 10.485 10.535  9.608 10.046 10.482
# 17  Kansas         11.129 11.165  9.953 10.509 11.149  9.975 10.129  9.899 10.141 11.123
# 31  TCU             8.897  8.838  9.434 10.428 10.101  9.485  9.699 10.539 10.935  9.956
# 15  BYU            13.331 11.595 10.811 11.086 11.754 10.996 10.537 10.883 10.865 11.066
# 32  Texas           8.957  7.615  8.460  7.481  6.422  7.099  8.313  8.013  7.835  8.802
# 35  Oklahoma        9.775 10.625 10.049  9.582  9.673 10.451  9.153  8.438  9.338  8.485
# 41  Cincinnati      8.497  9.970  9.053  8.992  9.415  8.605  8.372  8.680  7.848  8.699
# 72  Kansas State    6.225  7.348  8.108  7.872  8.624  8.740  8.583  8.349  7.542  6.881
# 73  UCF             5.855  4.785  5.635  5.777  6.960  6.883  7.267  6.935  6.465  7.319
#101  Oklahoma State  4.861  4.635  4.385  3.978  3.409  3.237  2.968  3.292  3.086  3.656
#144  West Virginia   3.680  3.467  2.787  3.626  3.496  4.655  4.376  4.040  4.923  4.778

                      Rd 10  Rd 11  Rd 12  Rd 13  Rd 14
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.             Pred.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game  Score
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  ---------  -----
#  1  Houston        13.167 13.469 13.495 13.683 13.903  10  3  @BU   Sat  68-66  road win
#  9  Iowa State     11.780 12.143 12.688 13.007 12.832   9  4   WVU  Sat  80-61
# 25  Texas Tech     10.130 10.375 10.873 10.868 11.175   8  5  @UCF  Sat  71-69  road win
# 14  Baylor         10.774 10.471 10.937 11.153 10.722   8  5   UH   Sat  66-68
# 17  Kansas         10.347 10.683  9.932 10.644 10.628   8  5   UT   Sat  75-69
# 31  TCU             9.970  9.722  9.777 10.308 10.029   7  6   UC   Sat  77-72
# 15  BYU            10.308 10.396 10.497  9.493  9.913   7  6  @KSU  Sat  73-70  road win
# 32  Texas           8.185  8.413  8.431  8.215  8.417   6  7  @KU   Sat  69-75
# 35  Oklahoma        9.244  9.193  8.802  8.104  8.121   6  7  @OSU  Sat  71-68  road win
# 41  Cincinnati      8.651  8.364  7.830  8.348  7.387   5  8  @TCU  Sat  72-77
# 72  Kansas State    7.698  7.564  7.630  7.143  6.909   5  8   BYU  Sat  70-73
# 73  UCF             7.299  7.063  6.950  6.351  5.573   4  9   TTU  Sat  69-71
#101  Oklahoma State  3.667  3.625  3.574  4.559  5.443   4  9   OU   Sat  68-71
#144  West Virginia   4.780  4.520  4.312  4.124  4.824   4  9  @ISU  Sat  61-80

Massey took honors for best prognostications in Round 14, his third win of the season.
Dunkel pulled up the rear once again, by just a hair over RealTime.  Vegas retained the
season lead, by just a fraction of a point over Dolphin, with Dunkel easily in last place.

One road wins was projected for Round 14, but it didn't happen; West Virginia prevailed
over UCF.  But Oklahoma State surprised Cincinnati and earned their first road win of the
season.  Four road wins are projected for Round 15, with Houston expected to win in Waco
(hope it doesn't happen), Texas Tech winning in Orlando, BYU winning in Manhattan, and
Oklahoma winning in Stillwater.

Road wins (29 out of  91)                    Home losses                                   RW-HL
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------
3 Baylor         OSU UCF WVU                 0 Houston                                    +3 UH
3 Cincinnati     BYU TTU UCF                 0 Iowa State                                 +3 ISU
3 Houston        BYU UT  UC                  0 Kansas                                     +2 BU
3 Iowa State     TCU UT  UC                  1 Baylor         TCU                         +2 KU
3 TCU            OSU BU  KSU                 1 Texas Tech     UC                          +1 TCU
3 Texas          UC  OU  TCU                 2 BYU            UC  UH                      +1 TTU
2 BYU            UCF WVU                     2 Kansas State   OU  TCU                      0 BYU
2 Kansas         OSU OU                      2 TCU            ISU UT                      -1 KSU
2 Oklahoma       UC  KSU                     3 Oklahoma       UT  TTU KU                  -1 OU
2 Texas Tech     UT  OU                      3 Oklahoma State BU  KU  TCU                 -1 UT
1 Kansas State   WVU                         3 UCF            BYU BU  UC                  -2 UC
1 Oklahoma State UC                          3 West Virginia  KSU BYU BU                  -2 UCF
1 UCF            UT                          4 Texas          TTU UCF UH  ISU             -2 OSU 
0 West Virginia                              5 Cincinnati     UT  OU  UH  ISU OSU         -3 WVU

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas         +10.99 (  8)
Baylor         +10.69 ( 10)
West Virginia   +9.58 ( 18)
Kansas State    +8.58 ( 33)
Houston         +7.55 ( 49)
Iowa State      +7.46 ( 52)
Texas Tech      +7.37 ( 53)
Texas           +7.27 ( 55)
Oklahoma State  +6.75 ( 65)
TCU             +6.64 ( 67)
Oklahoma        +6.63 ( 68)
Cincinnati      +6.33 ( 72)
BYU             +6.23 ( 74)
UCF             +6.09 ( 77)
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, Socalhawk

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