Big 12 projection, Round 10

                     Init Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Rd 5 Rd 6 Rd 7 Rd 8 Rd 9 Rd10 
Pred                 Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Conf
Rank  Big XII Team   Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Recrd
----  -------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- -----
#  8  Texas          11.3 11.6 10.5 11.2 11.4 11.7 11.0 11.6 12.0 12.3 12.7  8  2
# 18  Iowa State      7.5  8.5  9.1 10.1 11.2 11.0 11.6 11.2 11.4 10.6 11.1  7  3
#  9  Baylor         10.7  9.8  9.0  7.9  8.7  9.1  9.8 10.3 10.9 10.4 10.7  6  4
# 10  Kansas         11.6 11.4 12.0 13.1 12.8 12.9 12.3 11.3 10.8 11.2 10.6  6  4
# 17  TCU             8.4  9.1 10.0  9.2  9.0  9.7  9.0 10.0 10.5 10.7 10.2  6  4
# 33  Kansas State    6.4  7.2  8.8  9.6 10.1  9.5 10.2 10.7 10.5 10.3  9.9  6  4
# 32  Oklahoma State  8.4  8.2  8.6  7.9  7.3  6.9  7.3  7.8  7.4  8.2  8.7  5  5
# 24  West Virginia   9.3  8.3  7.7  6.9  6.2  5.7  6.5  5.9  6.7  6.3  6.8  3  7
# 55  Oklahoma        7.3  7.1  6.2  7.0  7.0  7.2  6.8  6.2  5.6  5.2  4.9  2  8
# 41  Texas Tech      9.1  8.8  8.1  7.1  6.3  6.3  5.5  5.0  4.2  4.8  4.4  1  9
                     
Pred                 
Rank  Big XII Team   Next Game  Prediction
----  -------------- ---------  --------------
#  8  Texas          @KU  Mon                    
# 18  Iowa State     @WVU Wed                    
#  9  Baylor          OU  Wed   BU  74  OU  67   
# 10  Kansas          UT  Mon   KU  75  UT  72   
# 17  TCU            @KSU Tue                    
# 33  Kansas State    TCU Tue   KSU 74  TCU 72   
# 32  Oklahoma State  TTU Wed   OSU 69  TTU 62   
# 24  West Virginia   ISU Wed   WVU 68  ISU 65   
# 55  Oklahoma       @BU Wed                     
# 41  Texas Tech     @OSU Wed                    

Real Time, with its enormous home court advantage, took honors for best prognostications in Round 10,
thanks to huge home wins by Baylor and West Virginia, but with a total error of 57 points, everyone
did badly.  Dunkel pulled up the rear with a total error of 84.5 points.  Seven Overtimes retains the
season lead with an average error of 8.3 points per game, while Dunkel remains in the cellar with an
average error of 10.4 points per game.

Although no road wins were projected for Round 10, three games were toss-ups, and one of those
turned into a road win.  Unfortuantely, it was Texas who earned the road win, giving them a
commanding two-game lead in the race for the conference championship.  No road wins are
projected for Round 11 either, which, if it comes to pass, would get us down to the long-term
rate of one in three road wins.

Road wins (18 out of 50)                     Home losses                                   RW-HL
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------
4 Texas          OU  OSU WVU KSU             0 Iowa State                                 +3 UT 
3 Baylor         WVU TTU OU                  1 Kansas         TCU                         +2 ISU
2 Iowa State     OU  TCU                     1 Kansas State   UT                          +1 BU 
2 Kansas         TTU WVU                     1 Oklahoma State UT                          +1 KU 
2 Kansas State   UT  BU                      1 TCU            ISU                         +1 KSU
2 TCU            BU  KU                      1 Texas          KSU                         +1 TCU
1 Oklahoma       TTU                         2 Baylor         TCU KSU                      0 OSU
1 Oklahoma State OU                          3 West Virginia  KU  BU  UT                  -2 WVU         
1 West Virginia  TTU                         4 Oklahoma       UT  ISU BU  OSU             -3 OU 
0 Texas Tech                                 4 Texas Tech     KU  OU  BU  WVU             -4 TTU

Performance (points)     Inconsistency (points)
---------------------    ----------------------
Kansas State    +1.99    Oklahoma State    7.98
West Virginia   +1.95    Kansas State      8.90
Iowa State      +1.72    Texas             9.70
Texas           +0.87    Baylor           11.03
TCU             +0.83    Iowa State       11.45
Kansas          +0.12    Kansas           11.48
Oklahoma State  -0.03    Oklahoma         11.86
Baylor          -0.10    West Virginia    12.00
Oklahoma        -0.53    Texas Tech       12.37
Texas Tech      -0.97    TCU              13.35

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
TCU             +0.77 +/- 0.40    TCU             +0.29 +/- 0.21
Oklahoma State  +0.39 +/- 0.24    Oklahoma        +0.13 +/- 0.26
Baylor          +0.07 +/- 0.35    West Virginia   +0.08 +/- 0.27
Kansas State    +0.07 +/- 0.29    Kansas          +0.06 +/- 0.27
Iowa State      +0.06 +/- 0.39    Kansas State    -0.09 +/- 0.19
West Virginia   -0.03 +/- 0.39    Iowa State      -0.15 +/- 0.21
Oklahoma        -0.15 +/- 0.38    Oklahoma State  -0.16 +/- 0.18
Kansas          -0.19 +/- 0.37    Texas           -0.24 +/- 0.17
Texas           -0.34 +/- 0.30    Baylor          -0.33 +/- 0.19
Texas Tech      -0.54 +/- 0.38    Texas Tech      -0.56 +/- 0.18

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)  
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------
Texas           78.70   Iowa State      61.45   Baylor          147.96   Texas           +10.39
Baylor          78.30   Oklahoma State  63.83   Texas           147.00   TCU             +10.26
West Virginia   77.04   TCU             66.48   West Virginia   146.65   Iowa State       +8.82
TCU             76.74   Oklahoma        66.74   Kansas State    145.04   Baylor           +8.65
Kansas State    76.17   Texas           68.30   Kansas          143.52   West Virginia    +7.43
Kansas          75.13   Kansas          68.39   TCU             143.22   Kansas State     +7.30
Texas Tech      73.61   Kansas State    68.87   Texas Tech      142.61   Kansas           +6.74
Iowa State      70.27   Texas Tech      69.00   Oklahoma        134.13   Oklahoma State   +5.17
Oklahoma State  69.00   West Virginia   69.61   Oklahoma State  132.83   Texas Tech       +4.61
Oklahoma        67.39   Baylor          69.65   Iowa State      131.73   Oklahoma         +0.65

Every Big 12 team is now in the Top 50 in strength of schedule.

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas          82.19 (  1)
Oklahoma        81.16 (  5)
West Virginia   80.68 (  6)
Iowa State      80.55 (  7)
Baylor          80.28 (  9)
Texas           79.74 ( 16)
Oklahoma State  79.49 ( 18)
Kansas State    78.67 ( 30)
TCU             77.91 ( 43)
Texas Tech      77.70 ( 48)