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Odds of Winning the Big 12 - KU's chances waning

  • CorpusJayhawk
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8 years 2 months ago #2745 by CorpusJayhawk
-Projected Conference Wins-		
Team        	Wins	
-----------	------	
Oklahoma     	13.1	
West Virginia	12.9	
Kansas       	11.7	
Iowa St.     	11.2	
Baylor       	10.9	
Texas        	8.5	
Kansas St.   	7.0	
Texas Tech   	6.1	
Oklahoma St. 	5.4	
TCU          	3.1	
--Probability of Winning Big 12 Title--		
Team        	Solo	Shared
-----------	------	------
Oklahoma    	33.2%	56.8%
West Virginia	25.4%	47.4%
Kansas      	5.9%	17.4%
Iowa St.    	2.7%	9.7%
Baylor      	2.2%	7.8%
Texas       	0.0%	0.2%
Texas Tech  	0.0%	0.0%
Kansas St.   	0.0%	0.0%
Oklahoma St.	0.0%	0.0%
TCU         	0.0%	0.0%

--KU Schedule-Probability of Winning--		
Opponent   	City        	Prob
-----------	-----------	--------
Baylor      	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma    	Lawrence    	100.0%
Texas Tech  	Lubbock     	100.0%
West Virginia	Morgantown  	0.0%
TCU         	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma St. 	Stillwater  	0.0%
Texas       	Lawrence    	100.0%
Iowa St.     	Ames        	0.0%
Kansas St.   	Lawrence    	81.4%
TCU         	Fort Worth  	81.0%
West Virginia	Lawrence    	60.0%
Oklahoma    	Norman      	35.2%
Oklahoma St. 	Lawrence    	88.9%
Kansas St.   	Manhattan   	57.1%
Baylor      	Waco        	51.8%
Texas Tech  	Lawrence    	85.7%
Texas       	Austin      	63.6%
Iowa St.     	Lawrence    	69.0%

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!

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8 years 2 months ago #2750 by LSHawk
Not good at math, but looks like if we win remaining games where chance is greater than 50%, our final record will be 14/4. Is that right?

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  • replayloungehawk
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8 years 2 months ago #2751 by replayloungehawk
Thanks Corpis...so I'm right! LOL...11-7...

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  • HawkErrant
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8 years 2 months ago - 8 years 2 months ago #2755 by HawkErrant
However, such a result will require several somebodies to answer the ongoing wake-up calls that have seemingly gone unheeded since the OU game.

IOW, past solid performance is no guarantee of future ones.

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
Last Edit: 8 years 2 months ago by HawkErrant.

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