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Odds of Winning the Big 12 - KU's chances waning

  • CorpusJayhawk
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3 years 6 months ago #2745 by CorpusJayhawk
-Projected Conference Wins-		
Team        	Wins	
-----------	------	
Oklahoma     	13.1	
West Virginia	12.9	
Kansas       	11.7	
Iowa St.     	11.2	
Baylor       	10.9	
Texas        	8.5	
Kansas St.   	7.0	
Texas Tech   	6.1	
Oklahoma St. 	5.4	
TCU          	3.1	
--Probability of Winning Big 12 Title--		
Team        	Solo	Shared
-----------	------	------
Oklahoma    	33.2%	56.8%
West Virginia	25.4%	47.4%
Kansas      	5.9%	17.4%
Iowa St.    	2.7%	9.7%
Baylor      	2.2%	7.8%
Texas       	0.0%	0.2%
Texas Tech  	0.0%	0.0%
Kansas St.   	0.0%	0.0%
Oklahoma St.	0.0%	0.0%
TCU         	0.0%	0.0%

--KU Schedule-Probability of Winning--		
Opponent   	City        	Prob
-----------	-----------	--------
Baylor      	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma    	Lawrence    	100.0%
Texas Tech  	Lubbock     	100.0%
West Virginia	Morgantown  	0.0%
TCU         	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma St. 	Stillwater  	0.0%
Texas       	Lawrence    	100.0%
Iowa St.     	Ames        	0.0%
Kansas St.   	Lawrence    	81.4%
TCU         	Fort Worth  	81.0%
West Virginia	Lawrence    	60.0%
Oklahoma    	Norman      	35.2%
Oklahoma St. 	Lawrence    	88.9%
Kansas St.   	Manhattan   	57.1%
Baylor      	Waco        	51.8%
Texas Tech  	Lawrence    	85.7%
Texas       	Austin      	63.6%
Iowa St.     	Lawrence    	69.0%

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!

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3 years 6 months ago #2750 by LSHawk
Not good at math, but looks like if we win remaining games where chance is greater than 50%, our final record will be 14/4. Is that right?

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3 years 6 months ago #2751 by replayloungehawk
Thanks Corpis...so I'm right! LOL...11-7...

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  • HawkErrant
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3 years 6 months ago - 3 years 6 months ago #2755 by HawkErrant
However, such a result will require several somebodies to answer the ongoing wake-up calls that have seemingly gone unheeded since the OU game.

IOW, past solid performance is no guarantee of future ones.

“The world is a dangerous place to live, not because of the people who are evil but because of the people who don’t do anything about it” ~Albert Einstein
Last Edit: 3 years 6 months ago by HawkErrant.

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