Kansas is projected to win 12.1 games currently. Their probability of winning the Big 12 outright is a scant 1.8% and 18.4% of winning at least a share. But what if they win out? Here are the probabilities of each of the teams mathematically still in the running.
Since Baylor plays both Kansas and K-State, they can have a bit better probability of winning a share of the title if they win out. If Iowa St. wins out they are still long long odds of winning a share of the title, only 4.2%. Obviously both Texas Tech and Kansas St. have a 100% probability of at least a shared title if they win out.