**CORRECTED* Big 12 Projections

When I published the last Big 12 projection I had been running a bunch of "what-ifs" with my probability module and forgot to restore the data. Thanks to JRHawk's keen powers of observation who caught the error I have re-run the numbers. It is not nearly as sanguine. Our beloved Jayhawks are in 3rd place, 0.8 games behind Kansas St. We need some serious help to win this thing. We are not at all out of it but it is an uphill battle. But it has been like that the last two years. What's new? Sorry for the fake news and thank you JR.

CJ - It was your answer to my question that revealed that something didn't seem quite right. I figured there was a good explanation, but wasn't sure it was one I would understand.
For me, probabilities have never meshed with the "eye test" for KSU. They have the same team that went to the Elite 8 last year, without Wade playing in NCAA tourney. I realize they lost at least two games they should have won (at Tulsa & at Texas A&M). Their home loss vs UT was without Wade and Stokes, so more understandable.
I have no doubt there will be several upsets and many tight games through the remainder of the Big 12 race. Unfortunately, with injuries and other issues, KU is getting very thin. Hopefully several of the bench players will answer the call with great performances.