Updated DPPI and Big 12 Probability

The impressive win over Texas Tech was KU's 3rd best performance of the year, coming in at 10.5 points better than projection. The Wofford game is still the best performance of the year at 14.9 points above projection followed by the South Dakota game at 11.2 points above projection. Tennessee was the 4th best game at 10 points above projection. The win moves KU up to 11th in the DPPI from 15th. We need another impressive win against K-State so we can climb back into the top 8. Here is the top 58 for the updated DPPI



As for the Big 12 race, 4 teams are tied with 6 wins but KU and Iowa St. are 1/2 game back since Baylor and K-State have 1 fewer loss. But more importantly, KU is back on top in the DPPI probability. It is razor thin. KU now has a 40% probability of winning the Big 12 at least with a tie and a 24% probability of winning outright. Baylor is right behind at 36% and 22% followed by Iowa St. at 20% and 10% and Texas at 17% and 8%. Texas Tech is also still in the hunt at 10% and 5%.



What Baylor has done this season is nothing short of shocking. They have exploded since Big 12 play started. They were projected to win 5.7 games initially bit are now projected to win 12.2. That is just beyond amazing. K-State has improved from 7.5 games projected to 10.5 but that is largely because of the return of Dean Wade. KU was projected to win 12.7 initially and currently we are at 12.4. 6 teams are still in the hunt within 2 games. But KU leads at this point.