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Big 12 projection, post SEC Challenge

  • asteroid
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6 years 9 months ago #20784 by asteroid
No changes in the standings after the SEC Challenge games, though the number
of projected wins did change slightly, with Oklahoma picking up the most.
Iowa State improved the second-most, while Kansas State and Texas lost about
that same amount.

Kansas State and Oklahoma State are sitting out Round 8.

                      Rnd S
Pred                  Proj.   Conf                          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Record  Next Game   Prediction 
----  --------------  -----  ------  ---------   -----------
# 10  Kansas          12.62    5  2  @UT  (Tu)   KU  by  1.8  RW
# 14  Iowa State      11.02    4  3   WVU (We)   ISU by 11.3
# 18  Texas Tech      10.55    4  3   TCU (Mo)   TTU by  4.1
# 36  Kansas State    10.20    5  2  @OSU (Sa)   KSU by  1.6  RW
# 22  TCU              9.66    3  3  @TTU (Mo)   
# 19  Oklahoma         9.51    3  4   BU  (Mo)   OU  by  7.2
# 43  Baylor           9.09    4  2  @OU  (Mo)   
# 34  Texas            8.42    3  4   KU  (Tu)   
# 72  Oklahoma State   4.97    2  5   KSU (Sa)   
# 64  West Virginia    3.96    1  6  @ISU (We)   

Kansas is once again the Big 12's most consistent team.

Performance (points)    Inconsistency (points)    
---------------------   ----------------------    
Iowa State      +1.70   Kansas            8.03    
Texas Tech      +0.81   West Virginia     8.63    
Oklahoma        +0.77   Oklahoma          9.01    
TCU             +0.67   Texas Tech        9.40    
Texas           -0.02   Oklahoma State    9.74    
Oklahoma State  -0.25   Iowa State        9.91    
Baylor          -0.50   TCU              10.97    
Kansas          -0.52   Baylor           11.26    
Kansas State    -1.36   Texas            11.47    
West Virginia   -2.56   Kansas State     11.52    

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
Baylor          +1.09 +/- 0.41    Kansas State    +0.47 +/- 0.24
TCU             +0.51 +/- 0.46    Baylor          +0.37 +/- 0.23
Iowa State      +0.37 +/- 0.38    Texas           +0.32 +/- 0.26
Kansas State    +0.36 +/- 0.45    Oklahoma State  +0.14 +/- 0.25
Texas           +0.11 +/- 0.46    TCU             +0.11 +/- 0.30
Oklahoma        +0.05 +/- 0.36    Texas Tech      -0.02 +/- 0.16
Oklahoma State  -0.18 +/- 0.39    Kansas          -0.03 +/- 0.23
West Virginia   -0.28 +/- 0.34    Iowa State      -0.04 +/- 0.21
Kansas          -0.44 +/- 0.30    West Virginia   -0.25 +/- 0.21
Texas Tech      -0.72 +/- 0.33    Oklahoma        -0.61 +/- 0.30

Kansas has opened up a sizeable lead in Strength of Schedule, the second-place
team, Illinois, being rated way down at 81.31.  Playing SEC teams actually
hurt the Strength of Schedule rankings for several Big 12 teams.  Perhaps the
biggest surprise among the SEC Challenge games was that Texas played a 186
total point game, when they had been averaging 136 total points.

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)     
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------   
Iowa State      78.55   Texas Tech      57.15   West Virginia   148.50   Iowa State      +12.70   
Kansas          76.65   Kansas State    59.30   Kansas          147.55   Texas Tech      +12.10   
TCU             76.21   Baylor          65.21   Iowa State      144.40   TCU              +9.47   
Oklahoma        73.80   Iowa State      65.85   TCU             142.95   Oklahoma         +7.00   
West Virginia   73.40   Oklahoma        66.80   Oklahoma        140.60   Baylor           +6.26   
Baylor          71.47   TCU             66.74   Oklahoma State  139.35   Kansas           +5.75   
Texas           71.15   Texas           67.65   Texas           138.80   Kansas State     +4.80   
Texas Tech      69.25   Oklahoma State  70.20   Baylor          136.68   Texas            +3.53   
Oklahoma State  69.15   Kansas          70.90   Texas Tech      126.40   Oklahoma State   -1.05   
Kansas State    64.10   West Virginia   75.10   Kansas State    123.40   West Virginia    -1.70   

Schedule Strength
--------------------------
Kansas          82.54 ( 1)
Oklahoma        80.65 ( 3)
Oklahoma State  80.32 ( 7)
Texas           80.25 ( 9)
West Virginia   78.03 (23)
Iowa State      77.69 (27)
Kansas State    77.68 (28)
TCU             76.42 (48)
Texas Tech      76.30 (50)
Baylor          76.14 (54)
The following user(s) said Thank You: JayhawkChef, jayhawk969, Socalhawk

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