Projection for the OU Game

The DPPI gives KU an 8 point advantage with a projected score of 76 to 68 and an 86.9% probability of winning.

Kansas has played more than 8 points below projection twice in 12 games. That would equate to a probability of 83.3% probability of winning.

Oklahoma has played more than 8 points above projection only once, when they beat Wichita St. 80-48 where they played 11.5 points above projection. This equates to a probability of KU winning of 91.7%.

Kansas has no discernible trend and that is accentuated due to the recent return of Udoka. Last game we performed almost exactly as projected. Prior to that we had underperformed in three of the last 4 games. But that was sans Udoka so essentially invalidated.

Oklahoma has outperformed the projection in 3 of the last 4 and 5 of the last 7 games. OU had one inexplicable loss to Wisconsin, at least inexplicable in that it was 16.3 points below projection. Wisconsin is a big dominated team so maybe that pertends well for Kansas.

OU has been very consistent. If you take the Wisconsin game away (16.3 points below projection) and Wichita St. (11.5 points above projection), they are amazingly consistent. KU has been less consistent but the absence of Udoka likely had much to do with that. Overall I like our chances.

Kansas
Overall Rank: 11th
Offense Rank: 8th
Defense Rank: 40th
SOS Rank: 3rd

Oklahoma
Overall Rank: 18th
Offense Rank: 27th
Defense Rank: 14th
SOS Rank: 2nd

KU is now projected to win 24.3 games. Rounding off that means KU is projected to go 24-7.

I still believe KU has another gear they have not shown. Perhaps that is true of many teams. I have not followed OU so maybe they have another gear as well. But we simply have not put all the pieces together yet. When we do we can be a very good team. Even assuming there will always be a range of individual performances, I think this team has some latent talent that will gradually emerge over the conference season. Let's hope this is true and it is sooner than later.