predictions for Tennessee game

Tennessee's opener was kind of unique.  They played a Division II school
that happens to be Rick Barnes' alma mater, and the game counted for
Tennessee, while it was considered an exhibition for Lenoir Rhyne.

Colley may be on board, but he hasn't updated his ratings since the 19th.
Meanwhile,  Real Time hasn't updated the schedule for Kansas, which as of
two days involved an unknown opponent, so no prediction has been posted.
And the web site for Seven Overtimes isn't responding, so we're missing
several predictions.

Among Greenfield's eight offensive stats, Kansas has the advantage in just
three, namely points per game, total rebounds per game (by just 0.1), and
offensive rebound percentage (by just 0.1).  Among the seven defensive stats,
Kansas has the advantage in just two, namely the number of offensive rebounds
per game and the number of steals per game.

Common Opponents
================
There is one common opponent, courtesy of the NIT Tip-Off, namely
Louisiana (Lafayette):

KU   +13 LaLa at home ( +9 neutral court)
Tenn +22 LaLa at home (+18 neutral court)
KU    -9 Tenn neutral ( -9 neutral court)

Then again, Kansas played 6 points below expectation against Louisiana,
while Tennessee played 5 points above expectation.

Players to Watch
================
most minutes       Admiral Schofield (guard)
most points        Grant Williams (forward)
most rebounds      Grant Williams (forward)
most assists       Admiral Schofield (guard)
most steals        Lamonte Turner (guard)
most blocks        Kyle Alexander (forward)
most turnovers     Admiral Schofield (guard) / Grant Williams (forward)
most fouls         Lamonte Turner (guard)

Forward Zach Kent is out with a knee injury.  And again Silvio De Sousa will
be withheld from competition until his eligibility status can be ascertained.

                                                           4-0            4-0
                       Margin   Predicted   Win Prb      Kansas        Tennessee
Predictor              points     Score     percent   Rating   SOS    Rating   SOS 
====================   ======   =========   =======   =============   =============
Sagarin Overall         +1.78   78   77                #  7   # 17     # 13   # 43 
Sagarin Predictor       +1.42   78   77       63.6     #  8   # 17     # 13   # 43 
Sagarin Golden Mean     +3.15   79   76                #  4   # 17     # 13   # 43 
Sagarin Recent Games    +3.32   79   76                #  4   # 17     # 12   # 43 
Sagarin Eigenvector     +7.28   81   74       75       
Massey                  +5.00   76   71       69       #  4   #  3     #  8   # 63
Pomeroy                 +4.41   77   73                #  2   # 40     # 11   #104
Greenfield              +4.00   78   74                #  5   #  2     # 10   # 52
Dunkel                   0.00   79   79                                           
Vegas (via Dunkel)      +3.50   77   73                                           
Real Time RPI                                          #  3   #  2     #  6   #  4 
Real Time GAMER                               41.5     #  3   #  2     #  6   #  4 
Dolphin Predictive      
ESPN BPI                +1.30                 54.6     #  3   # 28     #  6   #223
Seven Overtimes         +3.00   78   75       62       # 12   # 61     # 93   #320
Whitlock                
Colley Matrix           +1.69                          # 11   #112     # 27   # 69
CBN RPI                 
LRMC                    
common opponents        -9.00                                     
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============    ============ 
average                 +2.2    78.2 75.0
scatter                  3.7     1.3  2.3

Here is Kansas' season; the season record projection is still 26-5:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
NEUT   #  2 Michigan State              92  87    -2.53    +7.53
HOME   # 79 Vermont                     84  68   +16.20    -0.20
HOME   #119 Louisiana-Lafayette         89  76   +18.90    -5.90
NEUT   # 29 Marquette                   77  68    +5.89    +3.11
NEUT   # 13 Tennessee                             +1.42             0.636
HOME   #109 Stanford                             +18.34             0.982
HOME   #100 Wofford                              +17.66             0.978
HOME   # 68 New Mexico State                     +15.17             0.959
HOME   # 39 Villanova                            +11.21             0.900
HOME   #164 South Dakota                         +22.66             0.995
AWAY   # 30 Arizona State                         +2.79             0.625
HOME   #184 Eastern Michigan                     +24.40             0.997
HOME   # 40 Oklahoma                             +11.24             0.901
AWAY   # 23 Iowa State                            +1.50             0.568
HOME   # 82 TCU                                  +16.56             0.971
AWAY   # 81 Baylor                               +10.15             0.877
HOME   # 27 Texas                                 +8.97             0.847
AWAY   # 52 West Virginia                         +6.28             0.764
HOME   # 23 Iowa State                            +7.90             0.817
AWAY   # 56 Kentucky                              +6.48             0.771
AWAY   # 27 Texas                                 +2.57             0.616
HOME   #  9 Texas Tech                            +3.46             0.654
AWAY   # 26 Kansas State                          +2.56             0.615
HOME   # 59 Oklahoma State                       +13.16             0.934
AWAY   # 82 TCU                                  +10.16             0.877
HOME   # 52 West Virginia                        +12.68             0.926
AWAY   #  9 Texas Tech                            -2.94             0.368
HOME   # 26 Kansas State                          +8.96             0.847
AWAY   # 59 Oklahoma State                        +6.76             0.780
AWAY   # 40 Oklahoma                              +4.84             0.710
HOME   # 81 Baylor                               +16.55             0.971

Here is Tennessee's season to date:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
Div2        Lenoir Rhyne                86  41
HOME   #119 Louisiana-Lafayette         87  65   +17.48    +4.52
HOME   # 43 Georgia Tech                66  53   +10.04    +2.96
NEUT   # 35 Louisville                  92  81    +6.02    +4.98
NEUT   #  8 Kansas                                -1.42             0.364