predictions for Vermont game

As previously noted, there are no cupcakes on this season's schedule.  The
Jayhawks need to bring it EVERY game.  Take an opponent for granted, and you
lose.  Vermont is no slouch at #68 in Sagarin overall ranking.

Gone are Sagarin's Blue, Elo, Combo and offense-defense methods.  New is
Sagarin's eigenvector analysis, though it is so significantly different from
his other methods, at least for today's game, that it raises eyebrows.
Kansas was as high as #3 in the overall ranking the day after the Michigan State
game, but slowly slid to #6 as more games were played and other teams did well.
Duke was at #1 following their destruction of Kentucky, but dropped to #2 in
the latest rankings, being replaced by -- Nebraska???

Among Greenfield's eight offensive stats, Kansas has the advantage in six of
them; Vermont has a higher average score margin and a lower turnover percentage.
Among the seven defensive stats, Kansas has the advantage in just three; Vermont
holds opponents to fewer points per game, holds opponents to a lower effective
field goal percentage, and commits fewer personal fouls per game, while the number
of defensive rebounds is a wash.

Common Opponents
================
There are no common opponents.

Players to Watch
================
most minutes       Ernie Duncan (guard)
most points        Stef Smith (guard)
most rebounds      Anthony Lamb (forward)
most assists       Ernie Duncan (guard)
most steals        Anthony Lamb (forward)
most blocks        Anthony Lamb (forward)
most turnovers     Anthony Lamb (forward) / RA Kpedi (forward)
most fouls         RA Kpedi (forward)

Skyler Nash has an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available
for the game.  And again Silvio De Sousa will be withheld from competition until
his eligibility status can be ascertained.

                                                           1-0            1-0
                       Margin   Predicted   Win Prb      Kansas         Vermont
Predictor              points     Score     percent   Rating   SOS    Rating   SOS 
====================   ======   =========   =======   =============   =============
Sagarin Overall        +15.74   79   64                #  6   # 14     # 61   #115 
Sagarin Predictor      +15.87   79   63       92.5     #  8   # 14     # 68   #115 
Sagarin Golden Mean    +16.31   80   63                #  2   # 14     # 54   #115 
Sagarin Recent Games   +11.79   77   66                #  2   # 14     # 25   #115 
Sagarin Eigenvector     +1.72   72   71       57       #      #   
Massey                 +15.00   81   66       91       #  3   #  9     # 88   #139
Pomeroy                +19.25   85   66                #  1   # 18     #123   #165
Greenfield             +22.50   86   64                #  4   #  7     #136   # 94
Dunkel                 +21.00   80   59                                           
Vegas (via Dunkel)     +18.50   84   65                                           
Real Time RPI          +16.00   88   71                #  3   #  4     # 64   #198 
Real Time GAMER        +16.00   88   71       84.5     #  3   #  4     # 64   #198 
Dolphin Predictive      
ESPN BPI               +18.30                 93.7     #  2   # 15     # 91   #157
Seven Overtimes        +10.00   78   68       80       #  4   #  9     #242   #155
Whitlock                
Colley Matrix           
CBN RPI                 
LRMC                    
common opponents                                             
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============    ============ 
average                +15.6  +/- 5.2 

Here is Kansas' season; the season record projection is up to 26-5 (though
note that Kansas is now favored in every game):

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
NEUT   # 15 Michigan State              92  87    +2.80    +2.20
HOME   # 68 Vermont                              +15.87             0.925
HOME   #182 Louisiana-Lafayette                  +24.54             0.987
NEUT   # 17 Marquette                             +3.23             0.615
NEUT   # 21 Tennessee (or next)                   +4.73             0.666
NEUT   # 77 Louisville (or previous)             +13.71             0.894
HOME   # 46 Stanford                             +12.82             0.878
HOME   # 83 Wofford                              +17.48             0.944
HOME   # 29 New Mexico State                     +10.01             0.819
HOME   # 16 Villanova                             +6.15             0.712
HOME   #128 South Dakota                         +20.79             0.971
AWAY   # 51 Arizona State                         +6.73             0.730
HOME   #190 Eastern Michigan                     +25.00             0.988
HOME   # 45 Oklahoma                             +12.61             0.874
AWAY   # 28 Iowa State                            +2.71             0.597
HOME   # 87 TCU                                  +17.79             0.947
AWAY   # 98 Baylor                               +12.27             0.868
HOME   # 53 Texas                                +13.31             0.887
AWAY   # 48 West Virginia                         +6.45             0.721
HOME   # 28 Iowa State                            +9.11             0.796
AWAY   # 69 Kentucky                              +9.73             0.812
AWAY   # 53 Texas                                 +6.91             0.735
HOME   # 27 Texas Tech                            +9.02             0.794
AWAY   # 41 Kansas State                          +5.81             0.701
HOME   #157 Oklahoma State                       +22.43             0.979
AWAY   # 87 TCU                                  +11.39             0.850
HOME   # 48 West Virginia                        +12.85             0.879
AWAY   # 27 Texas Tech                            +2.62             0.594
HOME   # 41 Kansas State                         +12.21             0.867
AWAY   #157 Oklahoma State                       +16.03             0.927
AWAY   # 45 Oklahoma                              +6.21             0.714
HOME   # 98 Baylor                               +18.67             0.955

Here is Vermont's season to date:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
AWAY   #148 Boston U.                   78  72    +3.11    +2.89
AWAY   #  8 Kansas                               -15.87             0.075