NC odds

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asteroid
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7 years 6 months ago #17384 by asteroid

3 percent chance of a national championship, if the tournament
plays out according to seed.

                            Predicted            Cumulative
                               Margin    Prob.   Prob.
NEUT   #126 Pennsylvania       +16.91    0.929   0.929
NEUT   # 29 Seton Hall          +5.97    0.690   0.641
NEUT   # 24 Auburn              +5.60    0.679   0.435
NEUT   #  2 Duke                -2.97    0.403   0.175
NEUT   #  1 Villanova           -3.41    0.388   0.068
NEUT   #  3 Virginia            -1.79    0.441   0.030

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CorpusJayhawk
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7 years 6 months ago - 7 years 6 months ago #17394 by CorpusJayhawk

Here are the probabilities for every team using the DPPI. KU has 11% probability of making the Final Four and a 1.3% probability of winning it all. Duke is a tough matchup in the Elite 8.

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!

Last Edit: 7 years 6 months ago by CorpusJayhawk.

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Freestate69
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7 years 6 months ago #17417 by Freestate69

Thanks Corpus!
How would this chart look if we only took the last 10 games?
I'm wondering how the addition of DeSousa, who is playing very well, has changed the outlook for the Jayhawks.

"Be on your guard. There are older and fouler things than orcs in the deep places of the earth." - Gandalf on passing through Columbia, MO

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