Big 12 Actual vs Projections (by Team)

As you might expect, counting all Big 12 games, the home team performs 2.74 points better than projected (actually you should not necessarily expect this because the expectation already includes an adjustment for home court advantage). If you take out KU this over-performance goes to 4.1. KU is under performing by 7.8 points at home and over performing by 5.9 points on the road. Texas Tech has the highest differential from home to road. There must be something in the water in Kansas, because the only other team to perform better on the road is K-State. But K-State is actually over performing both on the road and at home. I have the table below. I am not a big believer in trend analysis but I must admit, Texas Tech looks like a pretty negative trend. OU is also tending to trend downward while Baylor and Iowa St. seem to trending upward. Oklahoma St. is far and away the most consistent. The Big 12 is not so well-behaved after round 7. The Iowa St. drubbing of Texas Tech was a 23 point above expectation performance. But that was outdone by West Virginia's dismantling of Texas in Morgantown. There may have been a little frustration being worked out after KU came back from 16 down earlier this week in Morgantown. The other 3 round 7 games were well under 5 points within expectation.