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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
predictions for Omaha game
- asteroid
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7 years 6 months ago #14850
by asteroid
The Mavericks are the weakest opponent on the Kansas schedule. After four
double-digit more-than-expectation performances, Kansas has had three
double-digit less-than-expectation performances, leading to a whopping
16.7 point inconsistency, way above the national average of 11 points.
Even with that, the probability of winning today's game is nearly 99 percent.
Maybe we'll see a little bit more of Cunliffe, along with Young and Teahan.
Among the eight offensive stats, Kansas has the advantage in all except
free throw attempts per field goal attempt. Among the seven defensive stats,
Kansas has the advantage in all.
Players to Watch
================
Most minutes Mitchell Hahn forward
Leading scorer Zach Jackson guard
Leading rebounder Mitchell Hahn forward
Most assists KJ Robinson guard
Most steals JT Gibson guard
Most blocks Matt Pile forward
Most turnovers KJ Robinson guard
Most fouls Lamar Wofford-Humphrey forward
Mitchell Hahn has a right shoulder separation and is not expected to play.
8-2 3-10
Margin Predicted Win Prb Kansas Omaha
Predictor points Score percent Rating SOS Rating SOS
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============= =============
Sagarin Overall +29.19 94 65 # 8 # 80 #269 # 99
Sagarin Predictor +31.24 95 63 98.8 # 2 # 80 #268 # 99
Sagarin Golden Mean +29.41 94 65 # 8 # 80 #262 # 99
Sagarin Recent Games +22.08 90 68 # 60 # 80 #299 # 99
Sagarin Off-Def Meth +34.44 97 63
Sagarin Combo +32.27 95 63 # 7 # 88 #275 # 58
Sagarin Elo +31.55 95 63 # 11 # 88 #274 # 58
Sagarin Blue +34.30 96 62 # 5 # 88 #274 # 58
Massey +30.00 98 68 99 # 19 # 21 #284 #129
Pomeroy +26.35 89 63 # 9 #107 #274 # 82
Greenfield +33.50 97 63.5 # 5 # 35 #261 #147
Dunkel +25.00 93 68 # 1 #275
Vegas (via Dunkel) +30.00 92 62
Real Time RPI +46.00 88 42 # 2 # 8 #221 #114
Real Time GAMER +45.00 88 43 99.6 # 2 # 4 #221 #114
Dolphin Predictive +27.55 94 66 98.6 # 7 #268
ESPN BPI +28.40 98.2 # 4 #163 #250 # 55
Seven Overtimes +25.00 92 67 98 # 16 # 33 #284 # 97
Whitlock +28.52 # 12 # 16 #284 #115
DPPI +37.68 98 60 99.9
Colley Matrix +30.88 # 15 # 8 #292 # 79
CBN RPI # 18 # 19 #275 #135
LRMC not on board
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
average +31.4 +/- 5.9
Here is Kansas' season; the West Virginia road game is still a projected loss,
but it's the only one. The projected season record remains at 23-8:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #231 Tennessee State 92 56 +28.69 +7.31
NEUT # 31 Kentucky 65 61 +6.90 -2.90
HOME # 94 South Dakota State 98 64 +19.26 +14.74
HOME #186 Texas Southern 114 71 +26.22 +16.78
HOME #139 Oakland-Mich. 102 59 +22.40 +20.60
HOME #183 Toledo 96 58 +25.71 +12.29
NEUT # 43 Syracuse 76 60 +9.33 +6.67
HOME #124 Washington 65 74 +21.60 -30.60
HOME # 14 Arizona State 85 95 +7.38 -17.38
AWAY # 90 Nebraska 73 72 +11.86 -10.86
HOME #268 Omaha(Neb.-Omaha) +31.24 0.988
AWAY #126 Stanford +15.39 0.862
AWAY # 33 Texas +3.76 0.605
HOME # 15 Texas Tech +7.71 0.707
AWAY # 26 TCU +3.13 0.587
HOME # 72 Iowa State +16.59 0.880
HOME # 46 Kansas State +12.83 0.834
AWAY # 8 West Virginia -1.25 0.465
HOME # 24 Baylor +9.22 0.743
AWAY # 25 Oklahoma +2.88 0.581
HOME # 10 Texas A&M +5.89 0.662
AWAY # 46 Kansas State +6.43 0.687
HOME # 50 Oklahoma State +13.12 0.823
HOME # 26 TCU +9.53 0.749
AWAY # 24 Baylor +2.82 0.579
AWAY # 72 Iowa State +10.19 0.764
HOME # 8 West Virginia +5.15 0.642
HOME # 25 Oklahoma +9.28 0.744
AWAY # 15 Texas Tech +1.31 0.537
HOME # 33 Texas +10.16 0.764
AWAY # 50 Oklahoma State +6.72 0.683
Here is Omaha's season to date:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
NEUT #241 Montana State 80 89 -1.85 -7.15
AWAY # 25 Oklahoma 89 108 -25.16 +6.16
AWAY #163 New Mexico 71 103 -10.38 -21.62
AWAY # 30 Louisville 78 87 -24.60 +15.60
AWAY # 26 TCU 66 99 -24.91 -8.09
NEUT #192 Tennessee Tech 85 86 -4.73 +3.73
NEUT #326 Jackson State 73 75 +5.63 -7.63
HOME #207 Drake 75 73 -0.61 +2.61
AWAY #124 Washington 73 86 -12.84 -0.16
AWAY #110 UC Santa Barbara 70 77 -13.80 +6.80
AWAY #207 Drake 74 93 -7.01 -11.99
HOME #260 Arkansas State 77 74 +2.68 +0.32
Div3 Cornell College 99 58
AWAY # 2 Kansas -31.24 0.012
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, Bayhawk, jayhawk969
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