predictions for Nebraska game

The good news is that we're not playing another Pac 12 team (KU's last three
losses have all come against Pac 12 teams).  More good news is that Cunliffe
is eligible to play.  The bad news is that we don't really need another guard
as much as we need another big.  And the worse news is that Nebraska is
undefeated at home.  Too bad the game is in Lincoln, because the Huskers are
winless on the road.

Interesting that Kansas is still ranked #1 by Dunkel, despite the two losses.
But he's picking Nebraska against the spread, though Kansas in the game.

Dolphin's prediction should be taken with a grain of salt, because I suspect
he has an incorrect score entry for the Huskers, given that he has their
record as 6-5 rather than 7-4.

The DPPI hasn't been updated since the Arizona State loss.  If anything, make
the margin smaller.

Among the eight offensive stats, Kansas has the advantage in all except
free throw attempts per field goal attempt, offensive rebound percentage,
and turnover percentage.  Among the seven defensive stats, Kansas has the
advantage in all except offensive rebounds per game and blocks per game.

Players to Watch
================
Most minutes          Glynn Watson Jr.          guard
Leading scorer        James Palmer              guard
Leading rebounder     Isaac Copeland            forward
Most assists          Glynn Watson Jr.          guard
Most steals           Glynn Watson Jr.          guard
Most blocks           Isaiah Roby               forward
Most turnovers        James Palmer              forward
Most fouls            Jordy Tshimanga           center

Still no word on Billy Preston.  I assume he will not play.  And despite the
mounting concern over concussions in football, and the protocol that keeps
players off the field for a longer time than in the past, I gather that
Malik Newman has been cleared to play.

                                                           7-2             7-4     
                       Margin   Predicted   Win Prb      Kansas         Nebraska   
Predictor              points     Score     percent   Rating   SOS    Rating   SOS 
====================   ======   =========   =======   =============   =============
Sagarin Overall        +10.17   80   70                # 11   #100     # 89   # 93 
Sagarin Predictor      +13.65   82   68       84.1     #  2   #100     # 92   # 93 
Sagarin Golden Mean    +10.24   80   70                #  8   #100     # 84   # 93 
Sagarin Recent Games    -3.87   73   77                # 91   #100     # 83   # 93 
Sagarin Off-Def Meth   +14.55   81   66                                           
Sagarin Combo           +4.37   77   72                # 17   #135     # 78   # 96
Sagarin Elo             -1.98   74   76                # 33   #135     # 74   # 96
Sagarin Blue           +15.10   82   67                #  2   #135     # 91   # 96
Massey                  +8.00   78   70       77       # 19   # 28     # 86   # 45
Pomeroy                 +9.21   77   68                #  7   #123     # 92   # 98
Greenfield             +11.00   79   68                #  4   # 36     #102   # 59
Dunkel                  +7.00   79   72                #  1            #104       
Vegas (via Dunkel)     +11.00   79   68                                           
Real Time RPI           +8.00   84   76                #  2   #  4     #103   # 18
Real Time GAMER         +8.00   84   76       66.5     #  2   #  4     #103   # 18
Dolphin Predictive     +13.20   79   66       86.5     #  5            #144       
ESPN BPI               +10.20                 81.8     #  4   #215     #103   # 58
Seven Overtimes         +2.00   76   74       71       #  8   # 31     #108   #100
Whitlock                +8.90                          # 13   # 18     # 85   # 33
DPPI                   +20.37   84   64       96.0
Colley Matrix           +4.41                          # 19   # 11     # 78   # 49
CBN RPI                                                # 23   # 12     # 51   # 78
LRMC                    not on board                                              
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============    ============ 
average                 +9.0 +/- 5.7

Here is Kansas' season; the West Virginia road game has now become a projected
loss, but it's the only one.  The projected season record has dropped to 23-8:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
HOME   #227 Tennessee State             92  56   +29.46    +6.54
NEUT   # 33 Kentucky                    65  61    +8.21    -4.21
HOME   # 98 South Dakota State          98  64   +20.30   +13.70
HOME   #183 Texas Southern             114  71   +27.01   +15.99
HOME   #142 Oakland-Mich.              102  59   +23.79   +19.21
HOME   #169 Toledo                      96  58   +25.42   +12.58
NEUT   # 44 Syracuse                    76  60   +10.39    +5.61
HOME   #111 Washington                  65  74   +21.69   -30.69
HOME   # 13 Arizona State               85  95    +7.92   -17.92
AWAY   # 92 Nebraska                             +13.66             0.841
HOME   #268 Omaha(Neb.-Omaha)                    +32.01             0.988
AWAY   #132 Stanford                             +16.81             0.881
AWAY   # 31 Texas                                 +4.59             0.626
HOME   # 15 Texas Tech                            +8.05             0.714
AWAY   # 26 TCU                                   +4.00             0.610
HOME   # 85 Iowa State                           +18.96             0.908
HOME   # 46 Kansas State                         +13.75             0.849
AWAY   # 10 West Virginia                         -0.33             0.491
HOME   # 22 Baylor                                +9.54             0.749
AWAY   # 34 Oklahoma                              +5.17             0.642
HOME   # 12 Texas A&M                             +6.92             0.686
AWAY   # 46 Kansas State                          +7.31             0.708
HOME   # 55 Oklahoma State                       +14.77             0.850
HOME   # 26 TCU                                  +10.44             0.768
AWAY   # 22 Baylor                                +3.10             0.586
AWAY   # 85 Iowa State                           +12.52             0.810
HOME   # 10 West Virginia                         +6.11             0.666
HOME   # 34 Oklahoma                             +11.61             0.793
AWAY   # 15 Texas Tech                            +1.61             0.545
HOME   # 31 Texas                                +11.03             0.781
AWAY   # 55 Oklahoma State                        +8.33             0.721

Here is Nebraska's season to date:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
HOME   #229 Eastern Illinois            72  68   +12.63    -8.63
HOME   #209 North Texas                 86  67   +11.64    +7.36
AWAY   # 51 St. John's                  56  79    -8.94   -14.06
HOME   #308 North Dakota                92  70   +18.23    +3.77
NEUT   #101 Central Florida(UCF)        59  68    +0.69    -9.69
NEUT   #305 Marist                      84  59   +14.96   +10.04
NEUT   #222 Long Beach State            85  80    +9.11    -4.11
HOME   # 84 Boston College              71  62    +1.99    +7.01
AWAY   #  3 Michigan State              57  86   -19.50    -9.50
HOME   # 43 Minnesota                   78  68    -3.34   +13.34
AWAY   # 18 Creighton                   65  75   -14.30    +4.30
HOME   #  2 Kansas                               -13.66             0.159