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TCU battling OU in H2; BU and WVU close in H1

  • HawkErrant
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8 years 1 month ago #5383 by HawkErrant
BU just took the lead on WVU 16-14 with 6:23 to go H1

OU and TCU have been battling back & forth.
31-30 OU at the half.
OU has built a 62-56 lead with 4:31 to play.

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"

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8 years 1 month ago #5384 by HawkErrant
Filling in all the possibilities after tu's win over OSU last night 2016-03-04

BLUF (or tl;dr for the “textgens”)
1. MOST SALIENT POINT
With OU winning, they and WVU are in the bracket opposite KU and can't meet the Jayhawks until the final.

2. MOST LIKELY SCENARIO (my personal favorite) –
KU>ISU, WVU>BU, OU>TCU and tu>OSU this Saturday.

WVU=(2),  OU=(3) and ISU=(6) on the opposite side of the bracket and can meet KU in title game;
Winner of tu=(4) v  BU=(5) can meet KU in the Game 7 semifinal, 
assuming KU beats the winner of Game 1 between KSU=(8 ) v OSU=(9) in Game 4 (KU's first).
3. BUT –
IF WVU loses, OU=(2), WVU=(3)

POSSIBILITIES FOR 4-5-6
TU will be a (4) or (5) (the latter only if ISU wins and BU loses) on KU's side of bracket
ISU can be either the (4) (win and BU lose) or (6) (we want the latter, of course, 
  since it means KU wins today)
BU can be (5) (KU side) if ISU loses or (6) if ISU wins and BU loses to WVU.
===========================================

THE BRACKET AS OF TODAY 2016-03-03

Seeds 1,7,8,9 and 10 are set.

BIG 12 STANDINGS
UPDATED THRU WEDNESDAY 2016-03-02 10:15 PM
AP Sch 	B12     GB  Pct.	TOTAL Pct.  Strk COMMENTS
 1 KU	14-3    --  .824	26-4  .867  W10  B12 CHAMPS!
10 WVU	12-5     2  .706	23-7  .767  W3
 6 OU	12-6   2.5  .667	24-6  .800  W1
19 BU	10-7     4  .588	21-9  .700  L1
21 ISU	10-7     4  .588	21-9  .700  W2
23 tu	11-7   3.5  .611	20-11 .645  W1
   TT	 8-9     6  .471        18-11 .621  L2
   KSU	 5-12    9  .294	16-14 .533  W1
   OSU	 3-15  11.5 .167	12-19 .387  L6
   TCU	 2-16  12.5 .111	11-20 .355  L6
REMAINING BIG 12 GAMES (all times are Central)
SAT BU v WVU Waco, TX        1:00 p.m. ESPN    IN PROGRESS
SAT TT v KSU Lubbock, TX     2:00 p.m. ESPNEWS IN PROGRESS
SAT KU v ISU Lawrence, KS    3:00 p.m. ESPN
THE POSSIBILITIES IN DETAIL IF OU WINS
a. WVU > BU, WVU = (2) seed no matter what anyone else does.
b. OU > TCU,  WVU >@BU, OU = (3) seed
c. OU > TCU,  WVU <@BU = a tie for second place in the standings.
    OU = (2) (2-0 v WVU)
    WVU = (3)
       In (b) or (c), WVU and OU can't see KU until title game.
d. [/strike]
e. In (b)[ OU > TCU + WVU >@BU], if tu wins (11-7), but ISU loses to join BU @10-8
    tu = (4) at 11-7
    BU = (5) (2-0 v ISU)
    ISU =(6)
f. In (b)[ OU > TCU + WVU >@BU], if tu and ISU tie @11-7 win and BU is 10-8
    ISU = (4) (1-1 v tu, 1-1 v KU)
    tu = (5) (1-1 v ISU, 0-2 v KU)
    BU = (6)
g. [/strike]
h. [/strike]
i. In (c)[ OU > TCU + WVU <@BU], if tu wins to tie BU @11-7and ISU drops to 10-8
    tu = (4) (1-1 v BU, 0-2 v KU, 2-0 v WVU)
    BU = (5) (1-1 v tu, 0-2 v KU, 1-1 v WVU)
    ISU = (6)
j. [/strike]
k. In (c)[ OU > TCU + WVU <@BU], if tu and ISU win to tie BU @11-7
    BU = (4) (3-1 v ISU+tu)
    tu = (5) (2-2 v BU+ISU)
    ISU = (6) (1-3 v BU+tu)

Another quick edit.

As I post this, WVU is leading BU 38-29 with 16:03 left in the game

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"

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