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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Updated Big 12 Schedule
- CorpusJayhawk
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8 years 2 months ago #4417
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
Baylor has a horrific schedule having to play KU and WVU at home and OU in Norman. If they prevail they will deserve it.
Iowa St. has an equally daunting task with WVU and KU on the road. They have KSU and OSU at home.
Oklahoma has the easiest remaining schedule with Texas in Austin being their big test. They have Baylor at home which is a nice test.
Texas has 2 of the biggies in OU and KU but both at home.
West Virginia has Baylor and OSU on the road and Iowa St and Texas Tech at home. Not easy but not too bad.
OU, Kansas and WVU will be favored in all of their 4 remaining games. Their projected wins in the remaining 4 games (a proxy for schedule strength) are;
KU -- 2.86
OU -- 2.88
WVU -- 2.87
KU's magic number is 2 which is also the number of home games we have remaining. Bob Huggins made a point of letting the world know that no one sits around in the Big 12 thinking about Kansas. He lied!!!
Iowa St. has an equally daunting task with WVU and KU on the road. They have KSU and OSU at home.
Oklahoma has the easiest remaining schedule with Texas in Austin being their big test. They have Baylor at home which is a nice test.
Texas has 2 of the biggies in OU and KU but both at home.
West Virginia has Baylor and OSU on the road and Iowa St and Texas Tech at home. Not easy but not too bad.
OU, Kansas and WVU will be favored in all of their 4 remaining games. Their projected wins in the remaining 4 games (a proxy for schedule strength) are;
KU -- 2.86
OU -- 2.88
WVU -- 2.87
KU's magic number is 2 which is also the number of home games we have remaining. Bob Huggins made a point of letting the world know that no one sits around in the Big 12 thinking about Kansas. He lied!!!
Proj Proj
Team Opp Exp Actual Margin
Gm Date Team Opp H/A/N Score Score Margin Margin Delta Prob
*** ******** ************** ************** ***** ***** ***** ****** ****** ****** ******
1 01/02/16 Baylor Kansas A 68.2 80.5 -12.2 -28 -15.8 0%
2 01/05/16 Baylor Oklahoma State H 78.1 63.6 14.5 17 2.5 100%
3 01/09/16 Baylor Iowa State A 73.8 79.2 -5.4 5 10.4 100%
4 01/13/16 Baylor TCU H 81.0 62.0 19.0 28 9.0 100%
5 01/16/16 Baylor Texas Tech A 72.1 72.6 -0.5 3 3.5 100%
6 01/20/16 Baylor Kansas State H 76.1 66.8 9.3 7 -2.3 100%
7 01/23/16 Baylor Oklahoma H 76.7 73.9 2.8 -10 -12.8 0%
8 01/27/16 Baylor Oklahoma State A 72.8 68.9 3.9 4 0.1 100%
9 02/01/16 Baylor Texas H 76.8 67.3 9.5 -8 -17.5 0%
10 02/06/16 Baylor West Virginia A 67.9 78.7 -10.8 -11 -0.2 0%
11 02/10/16 Baylor Kansas State A 70.8 72.1 -1.3 10 11.3 100%
12 02/13/16 Baylor Texas Tech H 77.4 67.3 10.1 -18 -28.1 0%
13 02/16/16 Baylor Iowa State H 79.1 73.9 5.2 9 3.8 100%
14 02/20/16 Baylor Texas A 71.5 72.6 -1.1 14 15.1 100%
15 02/23/16 Baylor Kansas H 73.5 75.2 -1.6 0 0.0 46%
16 02/27/16 Baylor TCU A 75.7 67.3 8.4 0 0.0 72%
17 03/01/16 Baylor Oklahoma A 71.4 79.2 -7.8 0 0.0 30%
18 03/05/16 Baylor West Virginia H 73.2 73.4 -0.2 0 0.0 49%
1 01/02/16 Iowa State Oklahoma A 74.0 81.8 -7.7 -4 3.7 0%
2 01/06/16 Iowa State Texas Tech H 80.0 69.9 10.1 7 -3.1 100%
3 01/09/16 Iowa State Baylor H 79.2 73.8 5.4 -5 -10.4 0%
4 01/12/16 Iowa State Texas A 74.1 75.2 -1.1 -3 -1.9 0%
5 01/16/16 Iowa State Kansas State A 73.4 74.6 -1.2 13 14.2 100%
6 01/18/16 Iowa State Oklahoma H 79.3 76.5 2.9 5 2.1 100%
7 01/23/16 Iowa State TCU A 78.3 69.8 8.5 13 4.5 100%
8 01/25/16 Iowa State Kansas H 76.2 77.7 -1.5 13 14.5 100%
9 02/02/16 Iowa State West Virginia H 75.8 75.9 -0.2 -5 -4.8 0%
10 02/06/16 Iowa State Oklahoma State A 75.4 71.5 4.0 5 1.0 100%
11 02/10/16 Iowa State Texas Tech A 74.7 75.2 -0.5 -3 -2.5 0%
12 02/13/16 Iowa State Texas H 79.4 69.9 9.5 10 0.5 100%
13 02/16/16 Iowa State Baylor A 73.9 79.1 -5.2 -9 -3.8 0%
14 02/20/16 Iowa State TCU H 83.6 64.5 19.1 9 -10.1 100%
15 02/22/16 Iowa State West Virginia A 70.5 81.2 -10.8 0 0.0 23%
16 02/27/16 Iowa State Kansas State H 78.7 69.3 9.4 0 0.0 74%
17 02/29/16 Iowa State Oklahoma State H 80.7 66.2 14.6 0 0.0 84%
18 03/05/16 Iowa State Kansas A 70.9 83.0 -12.1 0 0.0 21%
1 01/02/16 Kansas Baylor H 80.5 68.2 12.2 28 15.8 100%
2 01/04/16 Kansas Oklahoma H 80.6 70.9 9.7 3 -6.7 100%
3 01/09/16 Kansas Texas Tech A 76.0 69.6 6.4 10 3.6 100%
4 01/12/16 Kansas West Virginia A 71.8 75.7 -3.9 -11 -7.1 0%
5 01/16/16 Kansas TCU H 84.9 59.0 25.9 7 -18.9 100%
6 01/19/16 Kansas Oklahoma State A 76.7 65.9 10.8 -19 -29.8 0%
7 01/23/16 Kansas Texas H 80.7 64.3 16.4 9 -7.4 100%
8 01/25/16 Kansas Iowa State A 77.7 76.2 1.5 -13 -14.5 0%
9 02/03/16 Kansas Kansas State H 80.0 63.8 16.3 18 1.8 100%
10 02/06/16 Kansas TCU A 79.6 64.3 15.3 19 3.7 100%
11 02/09/16 Kansas West Virginia H 77.1 70.4 6.7 10 3.3 100%
12 02/13/16 Kansas Oklahoma A 75.3 76.2 -0.9 4 4.9 100%
13 02/15/16 Kansas Oklahoma State H 82.0 60.6 21.4 27 5.6 100%
14 02/20/16 Kansas Kansas State A 74.7 69.1 5.7 9 3.4 100%
15 02/23/16 Kansas Baylor A 75.2 73.5 1.6 0 0.0 54%
16 02/27/16 Kansas Texas Tech H 81.3 64.3 17.0 0 0.0 87%
17 02/29/16 Kansas Texas A 75.4 69.6 5.8 0 0.0 65%
18 03/05/16 Kansas Iowa State H 83.0 70.9 12.1 0 0.0 80%
1 01/02/16 Kansas State West Virginia H 68.7 72.9 -4.3 -4 0.3 0%
2 01/05/16 Kansas State Texas A 67.0 72.2 -5.2 -3 2.2 0%
3 01/09/16 Kansas State Oklahoma A 66.9 78.8 -11.8 -10 1.8 0%
4 01/12/16 Kansas State Texas Tech H 72.9 66.9 6.0 13 7.0 100%
5 01/16/16 Kansas State Iowa State H 74.6 73.4 1.2 -13 -14.2 0%
6 01/20/16 Kansas State Baylor A 66.8 76.1 -9.3 -7 2.3 0%
7 01/23/16 Kansas State Oklahoma State H 73.6 63.2 10.5 16 5.5 100%
8 01/26/16 Kansas State West Virginia A 63.4 78.2 -14.9 -15 -0.1 0%
9 02/03/16 Kansas State Kansas A 63.8 80.0 -16.3 -18 -1.8 0%
10 02/06/16 Kansas State Oklahoma H 72.2 73.5 -1.2 11 12.2 100%
11 02/10/16 Kansas State Baylor H 72.1 70.8 1.3 -10 -11.3 0%
12 02/13/16 Kansas State Oklahoma State A 68.3 68.5 -0.1 -3 -2.9 0%
13 02/16/16 Kansas State TCU A 71.2 66.8 4.4 14 9.6 100%
14 02/20/16 Kansas State Kansas H 69.1 74.7 -5.7 -9 -3.4 0%
15 02/22/16 Kansas State Texas H 72.3 66.9 5.4 0 0.0 65%
16 02/27/16 Kansas State Iowa State A 69.3 78.7 -9.4 0 0.0 26%
17 03/02/16 Kansas State TCU H 76.5 61.5 15.0 0 0.0 84%
18 03/05/16 Kansas State Texas Tech A 67.6 72.2 -4.6 0 0.0 38%
1 01/02/16 Oklahoma Iowa State H 81.8 74.0 7.7 4 -3.7 100%
2 01/04/16 Oklahoma Kansas A 70.9 80.6 -9.7 -3 6.7 0%
3 01/09/16 Oklahoma Kansas State H 78.8 66.9 11.8 10 -1.8 100%
4 01/13/16 Oklahoma Oklahoma State A 75.5 69.1 6.4 2 -4.4 100%
5 01/16/16 Oklahoma West Virginia H 75.8 73.6 2.2 2 -0.2 100%
6 01/18/16 Oklahoma Iowa State A 76.5 79.3 -2.9 -5 -2.1 0%
7 01/23/16 Oklahoma Baylor A 73.9 76.7 -2.8 10 12.8 100%
8 01/26/16 Oklahoma Texas Tech H 80.1 67.5 12.5 24 11.5 100%
9 02/02/16 Oklahoma TCU H 83.7 62.1 21.5 23 1.5 100%
10 02/06/16 Oklahoma Kansas State A 73.5 72.2 1.2 -11 -12.2 0%
11 02/08/16 Oklahoma Texas H 79.4 67.5 11.9 3 -8.9 100%
12 02/13/16 Oklahoma Kansas H 76.2 75.3 0.9 -4 -4.9 0%
13 02/17/16 Oklahoma Texas Tech A 74.8 72.8 1.9 -2 -3.9 0%
14 02/20/16 Oklahoma West Virginia A 70.5 78.9 -8.4 14 22.4 100%
15 02/24/16 Oklahoma Oklahoma State H 80.8 63.8 17.0 0 0.0 87%
16 02/27/16 Oklahoma Texas A 74.1 72.8 1.3 0 0.0 54%
17 03/01/16 Oklahoma Baylor H 79.2 71.4 7.8 0 0.0 70%
18 03/05/16 Oklahoma TCU A 78.4 67.4 10.9 0 0.0 77%
1 01/02/16 Oklahoma State TCU H 73.4 63.5 9.8 21 11.2 100%
2 01/05/16 Oklahoma State Baylor A 63.6 78.1 -14.5 -17 -2.5 0%
3 01/09/16 Oklahoma State West Virginia A 60.2 80.3 -20.0 -17 3.0 0%
4 01/13/16 Oklahoma State Oklahoma H 69.1 75.5 -6.4 -2 4.4 0%
5 01/16/16 Oklahoma State Texas A 63.9 74.2 -10.3 -5 5.3 0%
6 01/19/16 Oklahoma State Kansas H 65.9 76.7 -10.8 19 29.8 100%
7 01/23/16 Oklahoma State Kansas State A 63.2 73.6 -10.5 -16 -5.5 0%
8 01/27/16 Oklahoma State Baylor H 68.9 72.8 -3.9 -4 -0.1 0%
9 02/03/16 Oklahoma State Texas Tech A 64.5 74.2 -9.7 -2 7.7 0%
10 02/06/16 Oklahoma State Iowa State H 71.5 75.4 -4.0 -5 -1.0 0%
11 02/08/16 Oklahoma State TCU A 68.1 68.8 -0.8 -7 -6.2 0%
12 02/13/16 Oklahoma State Kansas State H 68.5 68.3 0.1 3 2.9 100%
13 02/15/16 Oklahoma State Kansas A 60.6 82.0 -21.4 -27 -5.6 0%
14 02/20/16 Oklahoma State Texas Tech H 69.8 68.9 0.9 -10 -10.9 0%
15 02/24/16 Oklahoma State Oklahoma A 63.8 80.8 -17.0 0 0.0 13%
16 02/27/16 Oklahoma State West Virginia H 65.5 75.0 -9.4 0 0.0 26%
17 02/29/16 Oklahoma State Iowa State A 66.2 80.7 -14.6 0 0.0 16%
18 03/04/16 Oklahoma State Texas H 69.2 68.9 0.3 0 0.0 51%
1 01/02/16 TCU Oklahoma State A 63.5 73.4 -9.8 -21 -11.2 0%
2 01/04/16 TCU West Virginia H 63.9 77.8 -14.0 -8 6.0 0%
3 01/09/16 TCU Texas H 67.5 71.8 -4.3 1 5.3 100%
4 01/13/16 TCU Baylor A 62.0 81.0 -19.0 -28 -9.0 0%
5 01/16/16 TCU Kansas A 59.0 84.9 -25.9 -7 18.9 0%
6 01/18/16 TCU Texas Tech H 68.1 71.8 -3.7 -7 -3.3 0%
7 01/23/16 TCU Iowa State H 69.8 78.3 -8.5 -13 -4.5 0%
8 01/26/16 TCU Texas A 62.2 77.1 -14.9 -17 -2.1 0%
9 02/02/16 TCU Oklahoma A 62.1 83.7 -21.5 -23 -1.5 0%
10 02/06/16 TCU Kansas H 64.3 79.6 -15.3 -19 -3.7 0%
11 02/08/16 TCU Oklahoma State H 68.8 68.1 0.8 7 6.2 100%
12 02/13/16 TCU West Virginia A 58.6 83.1 -24.6 -31 -6.4 0%
13 02/16/16 TCU Kansas State H 66.8 71.2 -4.4 -14 -9.6 0%
14 02/20/16 TCU Iowa State A 64.5 83.6 -19.1 -9 10.1 0%
15 02/23/16 TCU Texas Tech A 62.8 77.1 -14.3 0 0.0 17%
16 02/27/16 TCU Baylor H 67.3 75.7 -8.4 0 0.0 28%
17 03/02/16 TCU Kansas State A 61.5 76.5 -15.0 0 0.0 16%
18 03/05/16 TCU Oklahoma H 67.4 78.4 -10.9 0 0.0 23%
1 01/02/16 Texas Texas Tech A 68.2 72.9 -4.7 -8 -3.3 0%
2 01/05/16 Texas Kansas State H 72.2 67.0 5.2 3 -2.2 100%
3 01/09/16 Texas TCU A 71.8 67.5 4.3 -1 -5.3 0%
4 01/12/16 Texas Iowa State H 75.2 74.1 1.1 3 1.9 100%
5 01/16/16 Texas Oklahoma State H 74.2 63.9 10.3 5 -5.3 100%
6 01/20/16 Texas West Virginia A 63.9 78.9 -15.0 7 22.0 100%
7 01/23/16 Texas Kansas A 64.3 80.7 -16.4 -9 7.4 0%
8 01/26/16 Texas TCU H 77.1 62.2 14.9 17 2.1 100%
9 02/01/16 Texas Baylor A 67.3 76.8 -9.5 8 17.5 100%
10 02/06/16 Texas Texas Tech H 73.5 67.6 5.9 10 4.1 100%
11 02/08/16 Texas Oklahoma A 67.5 79.4 -11.9 -3 8.9 0%
12 02/13/16 Texas Iowa State A 69.9 79.4 -9.5 -10 -0.5 0%
13 02/16/16 Texas West Virginia H 69.2 73.6 -4.4 7 11.4 100%
14 02/20/16 Texas Baylor H 72.6 71.5 1.1 -14 -15.1 0%
15 02/22/16 Texas Kansas State A 66.9 72.3 -5.4 0 0.0 36%
16 02/27/16 Texas Oklahoma H 72.8 74.1 -1.3 0 0.0 46%
17 02/29/16 Texas Kansas H 69.6 75.4 -5.8 0 0.0 35%
18 03/04/16 Texas Oklahoma State A 68.9 69.2 -0.3 0 0.0 49%
1 01/02/16 Texas Tech Texas H 72.9 68.2 4.7 8 3.3 100%
2 01/06/16 Texas Tech Iowa State A 69.9 80.0 -10.1 -7 3.1 0%
3 01/09/16 Texas Tech Kansas H 69.6 76.0 -6.4 -10 -3.6 0%
4 01/12/16 Texas Tech Kansas State A 66.9 72.9 -6.0 -13 -7.0 0%
5 01/16/16 Texas Tech Baylor H 72.6 72.1 0.5 -3 -3.5 0%
6 01/18/16 Texas Tech TCU A 71.8 68.1 3.7 7 3.3 100%
7 01/23/16 Texas Tech West Virginia H 69.3 74.2 -5.0 -4 1.0 0%
8 01/26/16 Texas Tech Oklahoma A 67.5 80.1 -12.5 -24 -11.5 0%
9 02/03/16 Texas Tech Oklahoma State H 74.2 64.5 9.7 2 -7.7 100%
10 02/06/16 Texas Tech Texas A 67.6 73.5 -5.9 -10 -4.1 0%
11 02/10/16 Texas Tech Iowa State H 75.2 74.7 0.5 3 2.5 100%
12 02/13/16 Texas Tech Baylor A 67.3 77.4 -10.1 18 28.1 100%
13 02/17/16 Texas Tech Oklahoma H 72.8 74.8 -1.9 2 3.9 100%
14 02/20/16 Texas Tech Oklahoma State A 68.9 69.8 -0.9 10 10.9 100%
15 02/23/16 Texas Tech TCU H 77.1 62.8 14.3 0 0.0 83%
16 02/27/16 Texas Tech Kansas A 64.3 81.3 -17.0 0 0.0 13%
17 03/02/16 Texas Tech West Virginia A 64.0 79.5 -15.6 0 0.0 15%
18 03/05/16 Texas Tech Kansas State H 72.2 67.6 4.6 0 0.0 62%
1 01/02/16 West Virginia Kansas State A 72.9 68.7 4.3 4 -0.3 100%
2 01/04/16 West Virginia TCU A 77.8 63.9 14.0 8 -6.0 100%
3 01/09/16 West Virginia Oklahoma State H 80.3 60.2 20.0 17 -3.0 100%
4 01/12/16 West Virginia Kansas H 75.7 71.8 3.9 11 7.1 100%
5 01/16/16 West Virginia Oklahoma A 73.6 75.8 -2.2 -2 0.2 0%
6 01/20/16 West Virginia Texas H 78.9 63.9 15.0 -7 -22.0 0%
7 01/23/16 West Virginia Texas Tech A 74.2 69.3 5.0 4 -1.0 100%
8 01/26/16 West Virginia Kansas State H 78.2 63.4 14.9 15 0.1 100%
9 02/02/16 West Virginia Iowa State A 75.9 75.8 0.2 5 4.8 100%
10 02/06/16 West Virginia Baylor H 78.7 67.9 10.8 11 0.2 100%
11 02/09/16 West Virginia Kansas A 70.4 77.1 -6.7 -10 -3.3 0%
12 02/13/16 West Virginia TCU H 83.1 58.6 24.6 31 6.4 100%
13 02/16/16 West Virginia Texas A 73.6 69.2 4.4 -7 -11.4 0%
14 02/20/16 West Virginia Oklahoma H 78.9 70.5 8.4 -14 -22.4 0%
15 02/22/16 West Virginia Iowa State H 81.2 70.5 10.8 0 0.0 77%
16 02/27/16 West Virginia Oklahoma State A 75.0 65.5 9.4 0 0.0 74%
17 03/02/16 West Virginia Texas Tech H 79.5 64.0 15.6 0 0.0 85%
18 03/05/16 West Virginia Baylor A 73.4 73.2 0.2 0 0.0 51%Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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