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Big 12 Odds - KU 97% to win

  • CorpusJayhawk
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8 years 2 months ago #4415 by CorpusJayhawk
It has been said there are three kinds of lies, 1) Lies, 2) damn lies, and 3) statistics. But good grief, KU is about as statistically certain of winning as can be barring a complete meltdown. Of course if Perry is out with his eye, that could be a meltdown. Ouch!!
-Projecued Conference Wins-		
ueam        	Wins	
-----------	------	
Kansas       	13.9	
Oklahoma     	11.9	
West Virginia	11.9	
Baylor       	11.0	
Iowa St.     	10.0	
Texas        	9.7	
Texas Tech   	8.7	
Kansas St.   	6.1	
Oklahoma St. 	4.1	
TCU          	2.8	
--Probability of Winning Big 12 Title--		
Team        	Solo	Shared
-----------	------	------
Kansas      	82.4%	97.0%
West Virginia	1.1%	9.7%
Oklahoma    	1.1%	10.0%
Baylor      	0.2%	2.4%
Texas       	0.0%	0.1%
Iowa St.    	0.0%	0.1%
Texas Tech  	0.0%	0.0%
Kansas St.   	0.0%	0.0%
Oklahoma St.	0.0%	0.0%
TCU         	0.0%	0.0%

--KU Schedule-Probability of Winning--		
Opponent   	City        	Prob
-----------	-----------	--------
Baylor      	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma    	Lawrence    	100.0%
Texas Tech  	Lubbock     	100.0%
West Virginia	Morgantown  	0.0%
TCU         	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma St. 	Stillwater  	0.0%
Texas       	Lawrence    	100.0%
Iowa St.     	Ames        	0.0%
Kansas St.   	Lawrence    	100.0%
TCU         	Fort Worth  	100.0%
West Virginia	Lawrence    	100.0%
Oklahoma    	Norman      	100.0%
Oklahoma St. 	Lawrence    	100.0%
Kansas St.   	Manhattan   	100.0%
Baylor      	Waco        	54.4%
Texas Tech  	Lawrence    	87.2%
Texas       	Austin      	65.4%
Iowa St.     	Lawrence    	79.5%

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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8 years 2 months ago #4421 by hairyhawk
I like these odds. Though as all of us realize lots depend on Perry's eye.

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8 years 2 months ago #4439 by HawkErrant
The probabilities for OU and WVU play out as I thought they would in my 4 games to go post ., a virtual tie for them.

Needless to say, I *really* like KU's probabilities!

Thanks, Corpus!

PS:
Weird subconscious -- I first wrote "chances" then changed the word to "probabilities" -- or thought I was doing so.
What was on the screen when I realized I was "messin' up" rather surprised me though.
Intended: "probabilities"
Typed: "cribabkitieis"
Hmmm...

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"

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8 years 2 months ago #4440 by Bayhawk

The end is nothing; the road is all.
-- Jules Michelet

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8 years 2 months ago #4444 by HawkErrant
Made me laugh, Bay, thanks!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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8 years 2 months ago #4462 by NotOstertag
Things played out perfectly. WVU started the day a game back with 5 to play. OU served them up with another loss and KU won.

At 8am we needed to win 4 of 5 left to guarantee anything. About 12 hours later, we only need to win 2 of 4 to guarantee at least a share of the championship. I think we can play .500 ball from here out.

Road trips to Texas and Baylor won't be easy. Tech and ISU in Lawrence should be wins, but neither are guarantees. If we can win at Baylor on Tuesday it'll go a long way to sealing things up heading back to Lawrence and Tech on Saturday. Here's to the guys locking this down on our home court on Saturday.

"When I was a freshman, I remember Coach Naismith telling us how important it was to play good defense." - Mitch Lightfoot

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8 years 2 months ago #4468 by HawkErrant

NotOstertag wrote: Things played out perfectly. WVU started the day a game back with 5 to play. OU served them up with another loss and KU won.

At 8am we needed to win 4 of 5 left to guarantee anything. About 12 hours later, we only need to win 2 of 4 to guarantee at least a share of the championship. I think we can play .500 ball from here out.

Road trips to Texas and Baylor won't be easy. Tech and ISU in Lawrence should be wins, but neither are guarantees. If we can win at Baylor on Tuesday it'll go a long way to sealing things up heading back to Lawrence and Tech on Saturday. Here's to the guys locking this down on our home court on Saturday.


SO SAY ALL OF US, NotO!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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