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Debut of the DPPI (Davis Performance Predictor Index)

  • CorpusJayhawk
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4 years 9 months ago #654 by CorpusJayhawk
Sorry for the poor formatting. I'll fix that. The much anticipated DPPI has arrived. I have sought to build an RPI like tool that is more accurate predicting future games. We'll see if I have succeeded as time goes by. Of course it has the benefit of having the Montana game included but the current ranking would have predicted a 39 point KU win. It says we will beat San Diego St. by 8 points and UC Irvine by 23. It has Xavier as the top team in the land and KU third. It has Kentucky ranked 39th and I promise I did nothing to force that. I have some very large differences with the AP poll. I have Providence 80th compared to the AP 14th. I have Baylor at 55th versus 16th in the AP. George Washington, Arizona, Kentucky and Maryland are also overrated according to the DPPI. Vanderbilt is the most underrated team at 9th in the DPPI with Florida just 1 back in 10th. I will be anxious to see if teams like Providence, Baylor, George Washington, Arizona and Kentucky fade as the season progresses.

Through games of December 19th
Home advantage 4 points
Davis Power Predictor				
Rank	Team                      	Rating	SOS	SOS_Rank
1	Xavier                    	98.78	79.11	24
2	Virginia                  	98.05	79.94	15
3	Kansas                    	97.43	76.57	73
4	Villanova                 	97.14	78.91	29
5	Michigan State            	96.97	77.80	48
6	Louisville                	96.79	71.08	248
7	North Carolina            	96.39	78.79	31
8	Oklahoma                  	96.18	77.12	62
9	Vanderbilt                	95.99	78.26	41
10	Florida                   	95.95	80.12	14
11	Butler                    	95.48	77.32	57
12	Purdue                    	95.32	76.09	86
13	Miami (FL)                	93.55	76.80	69
14	West Virginia             	93.16	73.32	161
15	Texas A&M                 	92.51	76.83	68
16	Gonzaga                   	92.03	78.43	38
17	Iowa                      	91.91	77.91	46
18	SMU                       	91.40	72.04	212
19	Michigan                  	91.02	75.71	94
20	Dayton                    	90.90	79.02	27
21	Duke                      	90.85	74.28	124
22	Pittsburgh                	90.77	71.49	234
23	Saint Mary's              	90.57	71.14	244
24	Texas                     	90.45	77.74	50
25	Connecticut               	90.37	73.01	170
26	Cincinnati                	89.95	75.99	89
27	Monmouth                  	89.89	82.12	6
28	USC                       	89.85	78.55	34
29	UCLA                      	88.64	81.73	7
30	Iowa State                	88.54	74.15	128
31	Notre Dame                	88.16	76.19	84
32	Indiana                   	88.08	73.75	143
33	Incarnate Word            	88.03	86.64	1
34	Stanford                  	87.63	77.89	47
35	Eastern Michigan          	87.55	85.00	2
36	Maryland                  	86.77	73.81	140
37	Tennessee                 	86.70	79.70	18
38	Wichita State             	86.47	80.43	10
39	Kentucky                  	86.29	73.96	134
40	Arizona State             	85.99	77.94	45
41	UNI                       	85.69	76.43	78
42	William & Mary            	85.43	78.04	43
43	Valparaiso                	85.29	76.66	72
44	VCU                       	85.09	76.71	71
45	Richmond                  	85.01	75.63	98
46	Arizona                   	84.93	73.41	158
47	Boise State               	84.87	79.10	25
48	Oregon                    	84.71	73.89	137
49	Georgia Tech              	84.57	76.31	83
50	Oregon State              	84.52	76.87	66
51	George Washington         	84.46	72.93	173
52	UT Arlington              	84.35	72.93	174
53	Washington                	84.26	73.76	142
54	New Mexico                	84.24	74.74	113
55	Baylor                    	83.96	72.23	206
56	Ohio State                	83.68	74.36	119
57	Auburn                    	83.53	75.81	91
58	Utah                      	83.25	73.74	144
59	UNLV                      	83.12	77.48	54
60	Creighton                 	82.91	73.53	155
61	South Carolina            	82.36	71.66	224
62	Morehead State            	82.33	78.31	40
63	South Dakota State        	82.25	76.43	79
64	Long Beach State          	82.24	80.60	8
65	Stony Brook               	82.20	79.83	16
66	UC Irvine                 	82.16	77.29	58
67	Rhode Island              	82.07	72.34	201
68	Florida State             	81.84	73.35	159
69	UNC Asheville             	81.83	77.71	51
70	Colorado                  	81.70	70.71	258
71	Davidson                  	81.61	73.55	153
72	Middle Tennessee          	81.58	75.70	95
73	San Diego State           	81.47	75.26	101
74	Texas Tech                	81.18	71.48	236
75	Saint Joseph's            	81.15	75.77	92
76	Alabama                   	80.97	79.04	26
77	North Carolina State      	80.96	73.47	157
78	California                	80.66	72.56	192
79	Western Kentucky          	80.54	76.87	67
80	Providence                	80.40	71.49	235
81	Northeastern              	80.27	78.77	32
82	Yale                      	80.27	76.04	88
83	Tulsa                     	80.19	76.46	76
84	Arkansas                  	80.13	72.92	176
85	Wisconsin                 	80.04	73.77	141
86	Chattanooga               	79.91	76.18	85
87	Old Dominion              	79.87	75.66	97
88	Kansas State              	79.84	72.53	194
89	Belmont                   	79.68	78.73	33
90	Nebraska                  	79.35	74.30	121
91	Detroit                   	79.22	78.36	39
92	Little Rock               	79.22	73.93	135
93	Georgetown                	79.10	73.84	138
94	Wake Forest               	79.05	75.21	103
95	Syracuse                  	79.00	72.47	197
96	Cal Poly                  	78.97	79.34	21
97	Marquette                 	78.90	71.51	231
98	Memphis                   	78.68	70.90	252
99	Oakland                   	78.67	72.08	210
100	Seton Hall                	78.66	72.18	209
101	Georgia                   	78.48	72.27	204
102	UC Santa Barbara          	78.14	80.30	11
103	Northwestern              	77.97	68.53	314
104	Western Carolina          	77.89	80.22	12
105	Iona                      	77.78	74.28	123
106	James Madison             	77.29	72.30	203
107	Louisiana-Lafayette       	77.28	82.85	5
108	Hofstra                   	77.26	73.34	160
109	Georgia State             	77.25	73.66	148
110	Harvard                   	77.22	76.99	64
111	LSU                       	77.06	72.31	202
112	Southern University       	76.91	76.50	74
113	Ohio                      	76.89	72.98	171
114	Indiana State             	76.74	77.53	53
115	Massachusetts             	76.66	72.03	213
116	FGCU                      	76.64	75.27	100
117	Montana                   	76.57	79.63	19
118	Illinois                  	76.51	73.98	133
119	Pepperdine                	76.39	75.23	102
120	Temple                    	76.39	74.27	126
121	Oral Roberts              	76.39	79.11	23
122	Louisiana Tech            	76.34	73.56	152
123	Evansville                	76.18	70.80	255
124	Louisiana-Monroe          	76.09	78.01	44
125	BYU                       	76.07	71.53	230
126	High Point                	75.97	74.12	130
127	Gardner-Webb              	75.77	79.51	20
128	TCU                       	75.75	72.35	200
129	Charleston                	75.75	72.80	181
130	Milwaukee                 	75.43	72.60	189
131	Cleveland State           	75.16	77.41	55
132	Utah State                	75.08	76.37	81
133	Ole Miss                  	75.01	70.66	260
134	Omaha                     	75.01	75.67	96
135	Virginia Tech             	74.82	66.37	337
136	Morgan State              	74.80	80.17	13
137	Missouri                  	74.78	74.98	109
138	Kent State                	74.74	70.64	262
139	Murray State              	74.65	73.99	132
140	Sam Houston State         	74.61	75.13	104
141	Green Bay                 	74.45	75.41	99
142	Mississippi State         	74.42	73.32	162
143	Illinois State            	74.41	76.44	77
144	UMKC                      	74.25	76.34	82
145	Akron                     	74.08	72.59	190
146	UNCW                      	74.02	70.93	251
147	North Florida             	74.01	71.24	243
148	Nevada                    	74.00	71.56	229
149	Oklahoma State            	73.93	71.76	222
150	Coastal Carolina          	73.93	75.06	106
151	UAB                       	73.80	69.28	299
152	Colorado State            	73.79	71.41	239
153	Albany                    	73.77	70.21	275
154	Fresno State              	73.73	69.79	288
155	Wyoming                   	73.72	71.85	220
156	Buffalo                   	73.67	75.01	107
157	DePaul                    	73.57	74.39	118
158	Vermont                   	73.54	75.92	90
159	Princeton                 	73.36	70.30	273
160	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi  	73.27	73.70	146
161	Northern Kentucky         	73.16	79.15	22
162	New Mexico State          	73.01	70.00	284
163	Penn State                	73.00	72.89	177
164	Siena                     	73.00	71.05	249
165	St. Bonaventure           	72.98	69.46	293
166	Missouri State            	72.97	77.76	49
167	Minnesota                 	72.92	71.65	225
168	Wofford                   	72.86	78.07	42
169	Weber State               	72.83	71.40	240
170	Bakersfield               	72.78	72.62	188
171	Drexel                    	72.77	76.91	65
172	Mercer                    	72.45	69.73	289
173	Jackson State             	72.38	76.07	87
174	Duquesne                  	72.29	68.39	316
175	Florida Atlantic          	72.21	78.94	28
176	Toledo                    	72.18	71.50	233
177	Drake                     	72.05	73.14	164
178	Marshall                  	72.01	74.89	111
179	IPFW                      	71.94	73.73	145
180	Hawaii                    	71.92	69.28	300
181	Canisius                  	71.74	71.45	238
182	IUPUI                     	71.49	77.00	63
183	NJIT                      	71.35	71.14	245
184	Army West Point           	71.34	71.94	218
185	UCF                       	71.32	70.62	263
186	Boston University         	71.19	73.61	150
187	Austin Peay               	71.16	77.14	60
188	Clemson                   	70.97	64.83	344
189	Sacramento State          	70.94	72.79	182
190	East Tennessee State      	70.94	76.38	80
191	Houston                   	70.94	63.76	349
192	Saint Louis               	70.93	70.83	254
193	Fordham                   	70.92	62.19	350
194	Southern Illinois         	70.90	66.12	340
195	Radford                   	70.74	72.37	199
196	Loyola Marymount          	70.66	72.19	208
197	Pacific                   	70.59	74.90	110
198	Norfolk State             	70.49	77.20	59
199	North Dakota State        	70.26	71.95	217
200	Samford                   	70.22	72.02	214
201	Northwestern State        	70.15	83.27	3
202	South Dakota              	70.11	73.13	165
203	St. John's                	70.09	71.84	221
204	Idaho                     	70.07	71.63	227
205	Columbia                  	69.86	68.81	306
206	UC Davis                  	69.83	70.10	280
207	Lehigh                    	69.77	78.54	37
208	Fairfield                 	69.67	72.93	175
209	Grand Canyon              	69.58	66.65	333
210	South Alabama             	69.48	75.74	93
211	VMI                       	69.46	74.47	117
212	Lipscomb                  	69.32	73.66	149
213	Loyola Chicago            	69.28	71.63	226
214	Western Michigan          	69.27	71.24	242
215	Cal State Fullerton       	69.20	71.51	232
216	Boston College            	69.00	70.10	281
217	SIUE                      	68.94	72.68	186
218	Kennesaw State            	68.89	77.69	52
219	Tulane                    	68.85	70.16	278
220	Washington State          	68.73	63.96	348
221	George Mason              	68.68	70.67	259
222	East Carolina             	68.65	69.57	291
223	Western Illinois          	68.62	73.59	151
224	Portland                  	68.61	68.75	309
225	Miami (OH)                	68.54	72.58	191
226	Air Force                 	68.51	68.88	305
227	Elon                      	68.36	70.17	276
228	Rider                     	68.16	72.87	178
229	UTEP                      	68.00	66.66	332
230	McNeese State             	67.99	79.71	17
231	UAPB                      	67.99	80.46	9
232	Santa Clara               	67.96	70.83	253
233	Nicholls                  	67.82	83.03	4
234	South Florida             	67.81	70.24	274
235	New Orleans               	67.74	74.08	131
236	Fairleigh Dickinson       	67.73	72.86	179
237	Stephen F. Austin         	67.65	72.71	184
238	Navy                      	67.59	69.19	301
239	Northern Illinois         	67.34	68.75	307
240	Charlotte                 	67.27	74.50	116
241	Rice                      	67.16	71.73	223
242	Tennessee Tech            	67.15	70.16	277
243	Houston Baptist           	67.01	76.73	70
244	Wright State              	66.94	75.08	105
245	Southern Miss             	66.84	74.62	114
246	Alabama A&M               	66.81	72.43	198
247	Montana State             	66.74	70.59	265
248	Saint Peter's             	66.70	70.37	270
249	Rutgers                   	66.62	73.68	147
250	Southeastern Louisiana    	66.25	78.84	30
251	Bucknell                  	66.16	71.62	228
252	Denver                    	66.09	66.05	341
253	Arkansas State            	66.03	74.30	120
254	Wagner                    	65.96	71.46	237
255	Brown                     	65.94	72.53	195
256	Eastern Illinois          	65.90	73.53	154
257	Texas Southern            	65.89	74.13	129
258	Holy Cross                	65.81	69.87	287
259	Central Arkansas          	65.78	78.55	35
260	Eastern Washington        	65.75	73.18	163
261	CSUN                      	65.72	74.18	127
262	Saint Francis U           	65.71	73.90	136
263	Troy                      	65.63	69.89	286
264	San Diego                 	65.62	72.55	193
265	Bowling Green             	65.62	69.91	285
266	Howard                    	65.49	71.01	250
267	Alabama State             	65.42	74.27	125
268	Mount St. Mary's          	65.16	73.51	156
269	Ball State                	65.14	66.78	331
270	Youngstown State          	64.90	72.68	185
271	Central Michigan          	64.47	70.74	257
272	Cornell                   	64.47	72.67	187
273	Bradley                   	64.05	72.51	196
274	UT Martin                 	64.02	72.21	207
275	Stetson                   	63.96	71.25	241
276	Hampton                   	63.94	73.12	166
277	FIU                       	63.70	69.04	302
278	Furman                    	63.32	70.50	268
279	Tennessee State           	63.14	67.51	326
280	Binghamton                	63.14	70.31	271
281	Portland State            	63.10	69.50	292
282	Winthrop                  	63.04	68.33	317
283	Chicago State             	63.04	74.98	108
284	North Dakota              	62.96	73.03	169
285	Eastern Kentucky          	62.89	68.18	319
286	Towson                    	62.76	66.52	335
287	Northern Arizona          	62.41	78.54	36
288	Dartmouth                 	62.30	68.53	313
289	Manhattan                 	62.27	70.31	272
290	Colgate                   	62.25	70.54	267
291	Loyola Maryland           	62.12	70.64	261
292	Georgia Southern          	62.06	74.61	115
293	Maryland Eastern Shore    	62.05	77.41	56
294	Southeast Missouri State  	61.99	74.29	122
295	Massachusetts-Lowell      	61.93	69.02	303
296	St. Francis Brooklyn      	61.79	72.05	211
297	UNCG                      	61.79	70.48	269
298	Robert Morris             	61.70	71.12	247
299	Jacksonville State        	61.61	68.75	308
300	North Carolina A&T        	61.54	71.90	219
301	Delaware                  	61.54	68.66	311
302	La Salle                  	61.43	68.25	318
303	Grambling State           	61.40	77.12	61
304	New Hampshire             	61.39	69.44	294
305	Northern Colorado         	61.29	71.97	215
306	Prairie View A&M          	61.26	76.48	75
307	San Jose State            	61.15	70.60	264
308	Charleston Southern       	61.01	73.83	139
309	UC Riverside              	60.87	65.30	343
310	Campbell                  	60.61	69.34	297
311	North Texas               	60.60	70.08	282
312	Niagara                   	60.26	68.93	304
313	Jacksonville              	60.08	69.38	295
314	South Carolina State      	59.83	67.92	323
315	USC Upstate               	59.82	68.74	310
316	Lamar                     	59.58	64.23	346
317	Quinnipiac                	59.54	65.44	342
318	Coppin State              	59.51	72.81	180
319	Longwood                  	59.41	70.10	279
320	Savannah State            	59.38	71.97	216
321	Seattle                   	59.30	67.91	324
322	Texas State               	59.17	66.12	339
323	Bryant                    	59.16	74.88	112
324	Citadel                   	59.14	70.00	283
325	Idaho State               	59.02	69.60	290
326	Texas-Rio Grande Valley   	58.95	69.29	298
327	Southern Utah             	58.85	73.06	168
328	Appalachian State         	58.61	68.63	312
329	American University       	58.39	72.94	172
330	Hartford                  	58.36	66.19	338
331	Maine                     	57.99	67.94	322
332	Sacred Heart              	57.92	69.37	296
333	UMBC                      	57.74	68.44	315
334	Abilene Christian         	57.38	68.02	320
335	LIU Brooklyn              	57.35	64.24	345
336	Bethune-Cookman           	57.29	73.11	167
337	Mississippi Valley State  	57.14	72.78	183
338	Marist                    	57.10	67.97	321
339	North Carolina Central    	56.37	66.65	334
340	Delaware State            	56.21	71.14	246
341	Penn                      	56.01	66.49	336
342	Lafayette                 	55.63	67.32	327
343	Alcorn State              	55.46	72.25	205
344	Utah Valley               	55.34	66.79	330
345	Liberty                   	55.05	67.80	325
346	San Francisco             	54.61	64.11	347
347	Presbyterian              	54.08	66.80	329
348	UIC                       	53.40	70.55	266
349	UTSA                      	52.62	70.79	256
350	Central Connecticut State 	51.82	57.93	351
351	Florida A&M               	49.48	66.99	328

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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